2024/25 Relegation Battle (Without Everton!)

[mmmmsnouts]

Ipswich or Leicester would have to double their season win totals in the last 8 games to realistically pass Everton, and that’s assuming Everton don’t get any more points which is ridiculous. It’s not happening.

 

[perth_blue]

Ipswich or Leicester would have to double their season win totals in the last 8 games to realistically pass Wolves, West Ham and then Everton, and that’s assuming Wolves, West Ham and Everton don’t get any more points which is ridiculous. It’s not happening.

 

[liamefc91]

Can someone work out what game we can be mathematically safe?

 

[Jacko93]

Can someone work out what game we can be mathematically safe?

We're 14 points clear of Ipswich, with 24 to play for.

After the next round we could be in one of a few positions.

17 points clear, 21 to play for. Everton W, Ipswich L.

14 points clear , 21 to play for. Everton L, Ipswich L.

11 points clear, 21 to play for. Everton L, Ipswich W.

Each of those then open up a new set of possibilities for the next round. Which makes working it out almost pointless. If we get 9 points out of the available 21, we're safe, at whatever point we get them. It may be earlier depending on other results, and in my opinion, based upon points to game ratios up to this point, that is quite likely.


I reckon we're safe before we.play City, but that's based on gut, not maths.

 

[ToffeeScot]

Just want this season to be over now. Enjoyed the ride in the last few months but this month is going to be a reminder of why the squad needs revamped.

 

[RomanReigns]

Looking at the fixtures I think we will probably be mathematically safe by the time we play Ipswich at home in early May

 

[MACCA75]

We're 14 points clear of Ipswich, with 24 to play for.

After the next round we could be in one of a few positions.

17 points clear, 21 to play for. Everton W, Ipswich L.

14 points clear , 21 to play for. Everton L, Ipswich L.

11 points clear, 21 to play for. Everton L, Ipswich W.

Each of those then open up a new set of possibilities for the next round. Which makes working it out almost pointless. If we get 9 points out of the available 21, we're safe, at whatever point we get them. It may be earlier depending on other results, and in my opinion, based upon points to game ratios up to this point, that is quite likely.


I reckon we're safe before we.play City, but that's based on gut, not maths.

Think we’d need 4 points minimum from our next 2 games to be safe before City, so might be unlikely.

I just want us safe before we play Ipswich tbh, as I can’t be bothered being worried about losing that one.

 

[ganistuk]

Think we’d need 4 points minimum from our next 2 games to be safe before City, so might be unlikely.

I just want us safe before we play Ipswich tbh, as I can’t be bothered being worried about losing that one.

Totally how I feel - as someone who lives in Ipswich!!

 

[Bez2k2k]

Still not over this.

 

[ToffeeTim]

Ipswich need to win on Saturday to have any chance

 

[paultheblue]

Worst case scenario is we lose the next four games before we play Ipswich but we probably only would need to worry if they win the next four.
They play Wolves, Chelsea,Newcastle and Arsenal which is extremely unlikely.
We could do with Wolves beating them at the weekend and stopping any revival.
Don't get me wrong I am not worried about going down but I just don't want to see the gap narrowing over the next few weeks.

 

[Alanbileysfeathercut]

Presumably it's Ipswich,who can swap with us.
They have Wolves at home next.
Then
Chelsea a
Arsenal h
Newcastle a
They might get something v wolves.
That's it.
I think our bollocks are tougher now ,we'll beat them here.