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TimHowardsBeardJuice
Player Valuation: £35m
This is my primitive Ruthlessness Index.
Here are shots taken, goals scored, and % of shots scored for all goal scorers with 10+ goals this season. No xG stuff - not considering the probability of each shot.
DCL is 7th out of 16, and ahead of some pretty good names.
With the exception of Wood, who's under the radar and probably benefits from this exercise by having considerably fewer shots in the denominator than most of these guys, and Ings, who is having a career season, the guys ahead of him have well-earned reputations as cut-throat finishers over several seasons.
Now I've watched the games. I've seen him miss the sitters and tap-ins. He unquestionably has room to improve on that, let's be honest.
Give him two more goals on the season - which is not a stretch, since he missed one sitter against Palace and at least two, if not three, against Arsenal, and he would be at 23.3%, a few decimals ahead of all but two strikers, and those two are truly elite.
What this tells me is that if he develops more of a clinical edge he will be one of the elite strikers in the entire PL.
All due caveats re: the blunt instrument of this measurement, small sample size, etc., although 27 games is a pretty good sample - almost 3/4 of a season.
Here are shots taken, goals scored, and % of shots scored for all goal scorers with 10+ goals this season. No xG stuff - not considering the probability of each shot.
| Goals | Shots | % of Shots Scored | |
| Vardy | 17 | 57 | 29.8% |
| Aubameyang | 17 | 64 | 26.6% |
| Mane | 13 | 57 | 22.8% |
| Ings | 15 | 66 | 22.7% |
| Aguero | 16 | 72 | 22.2% |
| Wood | 10 | 45 | 22.2% |
| Calvert Lewin | 12 | 60 | 20.0% |
| Kane | 11 | 56 | 19.6% |
| Martial | 10 | 54 | 18.5% |
| Abraham | 13 | 73 | 17.8% |
| Sterling | 11 | 67 | 16.4% |
| Salah | 15 | 94 | 16.0% |
| Pukki | 11 | 69 | 15.9% |
| Richarlison | 10 | 66 | 15.2% |
| Jesus | 10 | 67 | 14.9% |
| Jimenez | 12 | 90 | 13.3% |
DCL is 7th out of 16, and ahead of some pretty good names.
With the exception of Wood, who's under the radar and probably benefits from this exercise by having considerably fewer shots in the denominator than most of these guys, and Ings, who is having a career season, the guys ahead of him have well-earned reputations as cut-throat finishers over several seasons.
Now I've watched the games. I've seen him miss the sitters and tap-ins. He unquestionably has room to improve on that, let's be honest.
Give him two more goals on the season - which is not a stretch, since he missed one sitter against Palace and at least two, if not three, against Arsenal, and he would be at 23.3%, a few decimals ahead of all but two strikers, and those two are truly elite.
What this tells me is that if he develops more of a clinical edge he will be one of the elite strikers in the entire PL.
All due caveats re: the blunt instrument of this measurement, small sample size, etc., although 27 games is a pretty good sample - almost 3/4 of a season.
The only counter to this is that his shots in general tend to be quite close to goal, but I honestly can't get my head round the fact that some on here are complaining about a 22 year old striker who's scored 12 goals in 20 starts this season. It's bonkers.
TheBigIguana
Player Valuation: £100m
Hey hey your counter is the exact reason that expected goals was created, but we can't talk about that.
Anyway you're right, he's really playing well and shooting from closer to the goal is clearly a good thing. Someone said when's the last time he scored from outside the box and honestly who the bleep cares? It doesn't matter at all. Good goal scorers are the ones who get shots away from in the box.
technojoe
Player Valuation: £10m
he is crud.
ForeverBlue92
Player Valuation: £80m
Its what will stop him becoming a top player.
Forget how many goals he scores from tap ins and headers - if he's missing those chances frequently especially in big games that decide trophies and european qualification it becomes an issue.
He'll never get the strikers instinct - the fact he was originally played as a midfielder suggests finishing was never his thing he's just going through a good patch but if that simmers down he hasn't much to hang his hat onto.
Saint Domingo
Player Valuation: £90m
It’s the same phenomenon as goalkeepers. Everyone thinks their own goalkeeper makes loads of mistakes. We don’t see the type of chances that other strikers miss on a regular basis.
windymiller
Player Valuation: £60m
I'm a fan of the lid but he should've buried that one.
andy4efc
Player Valuation: £60m
thats the answer. criticising him for missing a golden chance does not mean you're saying hes turd.
paulbefc
Player Valuation: £60m
To not miss absolute sitters at the rate he currently is.
Cameron Manning
Player Valuation: £35m
I think in that particular incident he could have slotted the ball to the left or the right, put it through the goalies legs, put into the net anywhere, I think it would have been ruled out by VAR, the referee let the game go on from the save, but if it had gone in then VAR would have come into play and would have given offside.
I think he's doing ok . I've seen Graeme Sharp miss easy chances . Watched Yakuba hit it over the bar from what seemed like three inches . Lineker cost us the title by squandering chance after chance at Oxford. If posters on here think he's rubbish , that's fine . They should stop boring the normal ones on here with their constant whining .
technojoe
Player Valuation: £10m
He misses guilt edged chances far too often. He’ll do it in a big big game soon an you’ll all get the daggers out
Cameron Manning
Player Valuation: £35m
Dominic will get no daggers from me, he has made continual improvement since he came into the first team squad over two seasons ago, proving himself as a scorer this season and I expect the goal tally to keep rising. The only players who get the dagger from me are the shirkers who don’t pull their weight, we have two or three in the squad and they let themselves down, their team mates and us fans down, but doubt very much if it weighs heavy on their conscience.
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