Tony’s Carp
Player Valuation: £50m
I agree that ideally we want a good start on the summer’s business with a couple of permanents this window. At the same time we want to be looking for quality over filler.I think there's an obvious acceptance that we need new players and, given the contract situations in the summer - between now and then we may well need 10 players. However, mass overhauls rarely work - you only need to look at the likes of Chelsea and how changing everything in 12 months means it taking time for players to bed in etc
I'd say we are looking at maybe 3 players this month (winger, number 10 and possibly a striker if we shift Beto), but I'd say the summer is going to require a bit of thought
Keane, Coleman, Young and Doucoure are all leaving and there shouldn't even be a conversation with any of them about a new deal
You would assume that Calvert-Lewin already knows where he's going and that nothing Moyes says or does is going to change that.
I think there's an argument that Gueye has done enough to warrant another year, although he's practically our top earner currently and I'm not sure he warrants that
You've got the Lindstrom, Mangala and Harrison loans ending too
I absolutely understand the arguments for selling Mykolenko, Patterson and one or two others, but I think I'd be wary about absolute overhaul because of how disruptive it is - processes like this are usually best done over a few windows
Essentially you've got decisions to make about the loans
Lindstrom - I'd have said no until now, but Moyes seems to like him and there may end up being a player there after all. At 20m euros, it might not be a terrible move, but we should also be looking at the market to see if there's better value out there
Mangala - Lad can play, has more quality than most in our midfield, but the agreed price is plain daft
Harrison - Anyway...
We are going to need full backs on either side, maybe a young CB prospect or an old one for cover there, I think Iroegbunum and Garner are decent players and that Gueye has done enough for another year, but there's a lack of quality through midfield at times and I think at least one centre mid will be needed. I'd like to see an attacking midfielder come in this month, but if it doesn't happen then we 100% need that addressing in the summer. N'Diaye is quality, McNeil can be useful, we should hopefully see a new winger this month, so that leaves either buying Lindstrom or going elsewhere for another one, we must assume Calvert-Lewin is leaving and that Beto is gone sooner or later so we are probably going to need two strikers between now and the summer - I wouldn't at all be surprised if we revisited Broja in the summer - clearly he's a long term target of ours and you only need to Google the number of times West Ham were linked with him under Moyes - it became a bit of a running joke there according to my West Ham season ticket holder mate.
Based on all that, you're looking at (ideally) 3 this month and then 6 in the summer - it's necessary, but that's a really big overhaul in a 6 month period and for that reason I'd be against selling some of those with question marks over them like Patterson and Mykolenko for now
The fact we probably need 9-10 players over the next two windows doesn’t daunt me that much. The players leaving will by and large be players who should be leaving, with an enormous wage saving. Not every player who comes in will need to be a starter, many of those leaving aren’t, or ideally shouldn’t be.
Between loans and permanents we actually signed 8 players last summer in the end, and that’s without a pot to piss in. It didn’t feel like a dramatic window or a massive overhaul, more evolution than revolution. Next summer is a big job but not a titanic one, and finally with a budget a massive opportunity.