brieverton
Player Valuation: £50m
If he hadn't won anything with them, and didn't have a history of success before joining them, then there probably would be knives out for him !
Therein lies part of the problem for us when we appoint a manager, we don't quite have the pull as a club to attract a really top name, so we end up employing people who we hope can take the next step in management, and grow with us. So, barring gravy chops, we've recently had Martinez, Koeman and Silva in charge.
All of them had some attributes which made most people see something positive about them, but a significant minority found something not to like about them from day one.
Silva's blown hot and cold while he's been here. At the moment ( two wins out of five and mid table ) he's blowing lightly chilled, but, if we win the next couple of games, he'll be blowing slightly warmed.
In some ways, the question shouldn't be "how much longer should he get", but "Who, realistically, could we appoint who would be more likely to do a significantly better job over the next couple of years".
There's not an obvious answer to that, which is why, certainly for the moment, I think we should stick with Silva. If come January, we address the obvious issue at centre back, and he still doesn't sort out our defensive issues, then I think he'll be gone at the end of the season
But, at the moment, he was let down by our lack of recruitement in that area this summer, so currently gets a pass from me.
A very reasoned and balanced post. I do think Silva has been hamstrung by the failure to sign another CB but on the other hand given the overall state of the squad he inherited, there were always going to be issues.
My hunch at this point is that if we have a top-drawer manager in the making whilst still finding his feet, we would be getting more points on the board in the away games simply by Silva finding means for us to do so. The best managers, whilst always harping on about finances and budgets, can somehow still make do and mend.
I think as it stands we are about another four players off starting a season being even able to consider a genuine tilt at the top six, so that's over a third of the starting eleven. If we know we cannot make the top six, then the next determinant of "success" in my view is finishing seventh, and putting an extra 10-15 points on last seasons total. We have to bridge the gap, year on year, even if it amounts to nothing particularly tangible outside of qualifying for Europe. The next step is then to be able to manage Europa League whilst not falling over a cliff in the PL.
Come what may, barring an horrific run he gets all of this season. If we finish seventh and have European football, then by whatever means we got there, all is well. If we don't achieve that, then there are very legitimate questions to be asked concerning spending more money under his stewardship, and with his contract up at the end of the third year, it would be reasonable after two full seasons, not to opt for an extension and go for a fresh approach. You are absolutely right though, in that it is completely banal to talk about replacing him, if its only going to be someone of the same ilk and similar capabilities.
The next appointment should in theory be one with much more insider knowledge and homework behind it now that Brands is responsible in that area. I don't think he will want to be associated for the moment with a hire and fire tag but nor will he want to be seen as stagnant and unambitious.
The end of this season and where we are then will tell all.