You could be right but we need to be aiming for at least a point a game to stay up, so I'm thinking 38 like every other year.
It's a bit early to know how many we will need though. Still 60% of the season left.
True, also at this stage of last season it wasn’t looking like Norwich and Watford were going to be cut adrift, they were competitive until February onwards when they just fell off a cliff.