Are there really that many bad teams?
Forest will pick up more away points this season imo and are unbeaten still at home so I think they can improve on 5-10 points if they keep key players fit.
Palace had a really good start so I don't see them being just above the bottom 6 like when they sacked Vieira.
Wolves have just beaten Man. City so while they're probably a similar standard to last season ultimately they were comfortably safe with 3-4 games still to play.
Fulham are weaker but they did finish on 52 points so could withstand 10 point drop and still stay comfortably up.
Brentford are weaker and lack goals but will still probably get draws when needed. They'll fancy getting something at Man. United the state they're in at the weekend.
Everyone else will consider it a massive failure not to finish top half.
Of course one of those above could drop down around March/April but even at this early stage I'd be amazed if the relegated three dosen't just come from the current bottom five.