Relegation 23/24 Thread

[Miked1e]

Still irked that Luton won, despite some tricky games coming up for them now.

True…. But in the main…. Good results including today!

 

[ah11984]

i expect 15

I’m convinced you expect the sky to fall in when you’re walking down the street.

 

[Titus Bramble]

Fair play guys and girls, this thread is great entertainment.

Luton winning right at the end is a bit of a punch in the gut, could feel the mood in the ground deflating as the news spread that they’d won.

But we can only control what happens in our games. 4 points in a week is exactly what we needed. Forest and Brentford are going to be feeling the pressure now, and Palace too if they don't get a few more points on the board in the next couple of weeks.

As things stand, for us to be relegated, all of the following must happen:
- Luton need to earn 5 more points than us (or 4 plus a 10 goal swing) with 1 game less to play than us
- Forest need to earn 5 more points than us (or 4 plus a 4 goal swing)
- Brentford need to earn 1 more point than us (or a 3 goal swing) with 1 games less to play than us

After playing 31 games last season, we were out of the relegation zone only on goal difference, and we dropped into the bottom 3 the following week, 4 points off bottom.

Still very much in our hands.

EDIT

- Forest need to earn 5 points more than us (or 4 plus a 6 goal swing) with 1 game less to play than us

 

[matty1878]

EDIT

- Forest need to earn 5 points more than us (or 4 plus a 6 goal swing) with 1 game less to play than us

we need to out do luton forest be ok

and we’ve got the points to come
off

 

[Titus Bramble]

we need to out do luton forest be ok

and we’ve got the points to come
off

Genuinely got no idea what this says

 

[matty1878]

Genuinely got no idea what this says

 

[Exeter_Gently]

Do wonder why the bookies this week have pushed us further out in the market, especially with a potential deduction looming.

 

[Nobby Nobbs]

EDIT

- Forest need to earn 5 points more than us (or 4 plus a 6 goal swing) with 1 game less to play than us

I get that, and like another poster said I think they’ll be safe, but watching them against Spurs they looked streets better than us.

 

[hallamblue]

Do wonder why the bookies this week have pushed us further out in the market, especially with a potential deduction looming.

We're about 5/1 with most bookies. That's a hedge in my opinion. Brentford and Palace are both 20/1 despite being level on points and only 1 point ahead of us They're expecting another deduction, but a small one I'd say.

 

[Jarvick]

Our GD is very handy when you look at the others down there, 6 better than Forest and 10 better than Luton. I didn`t realise but Palace GD is -18 and they have arguably the hardest run in.

View attachment 251787

And the umm...genius...of Dyche's master plan has now become clear...Everton to finish 17th, staying up on goal differential. Never a doubt.

 

[Jarvick]

Palace as well, depending on fixtures.

Palace have 7 games remaining, 5 games of which are against teams in the current top 8, and they also play teams currently in 11th and 13th. Palace do not play any of the current bottom 6 teams. They are well in the mix.

 

[Jarvick]

One more thought...for all those that say teams like Forest and Luton have goals in them, remember that they also concede a lot of goals (-16 and -20 goal difference), which impacts win/loss/draw. So, they have their own challenges.

 

[Swartzy]

We will at least know our deduction, plus all next weeks results before we play again.
Though I'm not actually sure that's a good thing now, as I'm having heart palpitations whilst writing this.

And you Know Chelsea will have an off day and come good next wk..

 

[PITA]

No Matty.

We will be lucky to get more than 3 points from our next 7 games.

We got 6 points from the 7 games after 18 February so maybe you are crazy.

 

[SJB]

Brentford and Palace are both 20/1 despite being level on points and only 1 point ahead of us

Level on points and only one point ahead of us?