Brighton vs Everton
While confidence may not be flowing through the
Everton camp, there's certainly something to build upon following last week's
3-2 victory over
Tottenham.
David Moyes' return has delivered positivity and a better way of playing. It's important we don't carried away in the very short term but I'd fancy the Toffees to have a better chance here than the odds suggest.
Brighton are good. Really good. They may well have been held back by draws but a three-game winning run in all competitions has put them back on track.
The best value comes in focusing on
DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN though and the 11/8 price for the striker to have
3+ TOTAL SHOTS.
The striker's six shots in that win over Spurs was the most he's had all campaign, as was the 11 aerial duels he ended up winning. He was playing with confidence and deserved to end his four-month wait for a league goal.
We have to be cautious not to get too carried away on the basis of one showing but it doesn't feel like a coincidence that a new manager has arrived and this is what we've seen across his 90 or so minutes of involvement.
Brighton are averaging 11.6 shots conceded per game - 10.3 in home games - which isn't the highest in the league by any stretch.
But it does mean the visitors should get chances to strike and this bet doesn't require any of those efforts to be on target. It's something
Calvert-Lewinachieved in both games under Moyes.