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Crypto currency (IF banned from CA)

Btc is simple for retail investors...invest if you can afford to forget about it for the long term.

Buy under $20k and leave it.

Absolutely crazy to sell it when it dips...people who do that are gambling with perpetuals, or cant afford the risks.

Cant take the risk..dont gamble.

Investing is gambling.
These crypto crap ain’t investment these are gambling. A hoax.
 

Sir I just read this post from 7 months ago as I scout the vaults and, sorry for the late reply, but what the bejesus you chatting?
In a feeble attempt to defend the indefensible, the point at which I posted (47k), the local low did come in not too far from my prediction, and then a lower high was printed which signified the end of the cycle, albeit well before it reached 53k (clearly emotional and financial investment strongly colouring any objectivity).

When it comes to how low it could go, almost immediately following that post, the US Fed’s carefree attitude towards ‘transitory’ inflation shifted overnight; the exogenous event to which I referred happened shortly after (war in Ukraine -> unprecedented sanctions -> disruption to global economy -> crypto treated as risk-off asset -> subsequent implosion) ∴ all bets are off.

One thing I certainly wasn’t anticipating was the complete liquidation of supposed market makers (3AC formerly managing 18Bn of assets; Celsius) following Luna’s de-pegging - now the extent of the contagion can’t really be overstated.

tl;dr - chatting the purest of wham
 

In a feeble attempt to defend the indefensible, the point at which I posted (47k), the local low did come in not too far from my prediction, and then a lower high was printed which signified the end of the cycle, albeit well before it reached 53k (clearly emotional and financial investment strongly colouring any objectivity).

When it comes to how low it could go, almost immediately following that post, the US Fed’s carefree attitude towards ‘transitory’ inflation shifted overnight; the exogenous event to which I referred happened shortly after (war in Ukraine -> unprecedented sanctions -> disruption to global economy -> crypto treated as risk-off asset -> subsequent implosion) ∴ all bets are off.

One thing I certainly wasn’t anticipating was the complete liquidation of supposed market makers (3AC formerly managing 18Bn of assets; Celsius) following Luna’s de-pegging - now the extent of the contagion can’t really be overstated.

tl;dr - chatting the purest of wham
Loving the last bit comrade. Me too, me too.
 

Am surprised there haven’t been any “rip your face off” bear market rallies to keep the shorts on their toes.

Steep declines but still pretty orderly tbh, perhaps institutional unwinds?


Institutions are shorting down and aiming for $13k-15k range.

You can see the levels in the charts. But its rigged anyway.

Depends what you mean tbh - putting stop loss orders on can be a very valuable trading tool and it is good mental discipline when you enter a trade to at the same time state “this is the level where I know this was a bad bet“

But agree that a lot of selling is people who didn’t understand/can’t afford the risks - especially those who used leverage.

Deson’t help that some people didn’t realize they were gambling - like the money market funds in 2008 that were discovered to hold very dodgy commercial paper or some stablecoins now

When someone says "retail" it means non-professional individual traders.

I said retail/individuals should only buy btc and hold long term. Only if they can afford to wait and/or lose :)

In that context your post makes no sense to me:


" putting stop loss orders on can be a very valuable trading tool and it is good mental discipline when you enter a trade to at the same time state “this is the level where I know this was a bad bet "



-- Stop loss is for short term trading. Retail are not professional traders, they shouldnt trade crypto in this market short term or they will likely lose.

-- Stop losses may not be activated in a fast moving market. What then? Hope you can out trade professionals in a fast moving market? :(

-- Mental discipline is nonsense. Short term trading in crypto when professionals use algos? The only mental discipline needed is to buy and hold and know the risk of losing.

-- How do you know what is or isnt a "bad bet" the whole market is rigged so as you close short term positions it could suddenly go the opposite way.

A lot of scammers claimed to be superstar traders and launched FX (and now crypto) trading courses with all the above...buzzwords.

Charge for the courses + take a % of losses on the introduced accounts at 'recommended' brokerages. The words youre using sound like theyre from one of those courses -- be careful as those "instructors/educators" are almost always failed traders.

Ive seen their actual trading accounts.

"But agree that a lot of selling is people who didn’t understand/can’t afford the risks - especially those who used leverage "


Not sure what the correlation of leverage is here? Thats for perpetuals trading which is where professionals mostly trade short term as theres no cumbersome coin movement + leverage means theres more profits to be made on the algos.



TLDR = If youre going to gamble / play at trading then only buy Spot btc and hold...be prepared to wait and lose.

If adventurous then chuck some money into other stuff and hold long term.

Dont try day trading with money you cant afford to lose...better off sticking it in a fruit machine and having a pint.


You can’t begrudge anyone for investing in crypto for quick returns. Which is what some people in this thread are doing.

With real inflation running at 30% and wage increases non-existent it’s hardly a surprise people have turned to it. It’s more about survival than greed imo.
Its not really investing...its gambling if looking for "quick returns".

Every "investment" is a gamble though...even buying a house.

But short term retail crypto is proper gambling.


Ouch


Surely it has dropped enough for some dip buyers to try to make a stand at some point , and bears to take orofits on some of their shorts, but it has sliced through several support levels already.


Dip buyers / bears / make a stand / support ?


This is now an institutional rigged market.

The institutions make money up or down long or short.

Just buy and hold and dont play their game.
 
This is probably a daft example but...

If youre one of 49 normal people in F1 cars and the 50th is Lewis Hamilton and youre all driving unlimited laps.

Your best move is to drive around the track very slowly...dont worry how many times youre lapped. Others will crash, tire themselves out, give up trying to beat the professional and basically lose.

Eventually you will outlast most of the other drivers and finish on the podium behind the professional.

You wont come 1st but coming 2nd or 3rd you still win.
 
This is probably a daft example but...

If youre one of 49 normal people in F1 cars and the 50th is Lewis Hamilton and youre all driving unlimited laps.

Your best move is to drive around the track very slowly...dont worry how many times youre lapped. Others will crash, tire themselves out, give up trying to beat the professional and basically lose.

Eventually you will outlast most of the other drivers and finish on the podium behind the professional.

You wont come 1st but coming 2nd or 3rd you still win.
Bed
 

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