Donald Trump for President Thread

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Electoral map is tightening up in some of the swing states going by realclearpolitics. Could get interesting? Especially as Trump is doing better with independents?
Big final week...
 

What's that there all mean, Kith?
While Hillary is in front, there has been a trend amongst most of the swing states she is in front in like Florida, Pennsylvania, Nth Carolina, Nevada and a few others, where the gap is closing this past week. If that continues into the last 12 days it may make it closer than the landslide most are expecting.

Or not. ;)
 

Donald Trump refuses to accept result of Great British Bake Off.......

Donald Trump has shocked political pundits on both sides of the Atlantic by refusing to accept the result of the Great British Bake Off final.

The final was won last night by Candice Brown, but Mr Trump had been a supporter of Andrew Smythe ever since he saw his tropical holiday roulade.

“I can’t accept it. I’m sorry, but I just can’t,” said the micro-handed sociopath and Republican candidate.

“We know that the election system in our own great country is rigged. It is, it really is. We know this because I’ve repeated it on many occasions.

“So how do we know that the Great British Bake Off isn’t similarly rigged? After all, it’s run by the BBC, a well-known organisation of communists.

“I can’t think of any other reason. No other reason at all that Andrew Smythe didn’t win. I mean, did you see those clockwork pies?”

His opponent, Hilary Clinton declared herself shocked at Mr Trump’s comments.

“I, for one, am appalled that someone who is the nominee of one of the two major parties would take that position.

“Candice deserved the win for her marzipan peacock alone.”

Mr Trump has also hinted that he may refuse to accept the result of Strictly if Danny Mac doesn’t win.

“I will tell you at the time,” he said.

“I’ll keep you in suspense.”
 
http://www.prnewswire.com/news-rele...-doctors-surveyed-reports-aaps-300350768.html

"We assembled five prominent economists from across the political spectrum. We gave them a simple task: Identify major economic policies they could all stand behind. They did. They gave us five tax proposals, plus one change to the criminal code, that every one of them could support wholeheartedly, from left to right.

The six proposals agreed to by economists of all political stripes:
- Eliminate mortgage interest deduction
- Eliminate health insurance benefits deduction
- Eliminate corporate income tax
- Eliminate personal income and payroll taxes
- Institute some form of consumption tax
- Legalize drugs such as marijuana"
 
While Hillary is in front, there has been a trend amongst most of the swing states she is in front in like Florida, Pennsylvania, Nth Carolina, Nevada and a few others, where the gap is closing this past week. If that continues into the last 12 days it may make it closer than the landslide most are expecting.

Or not. ;)
One of the guys at RealClearPolitics, @seantrende, has done an interesting tweetstorm on this.

So on the "is it tightening/no it is not tightening" debate, I think there are a few points that need to be made. 1/
First, there is a difference between saying "the polls show a tightening race" and "the polls show a *tight* race." 2/
I think the former is probably true while the latter is plainly not. As for why I think the former is probably true... 3/
It's easy to fall into cherry picking, e.g. looking at ABC/WaPo moving 6 points toward Trump while ignoring AP/GfK HRC+15
I just primarily look at the widget in the upper right of RCP. If all the blue arrows are down-pointed, and the red upward-pointed for a few days, then it's probably tightening to some degree, especially in a high volume poll time like we have right now. 5/
With all that said, the spread on the polls right now really is bothersome. You should read @NateSilver538 on the risk of poll failure. 6/

All that said, the uncertainty mostly revolves around whether this is a close Clinton win or a blowout. Hard to make case Trump leads. 11/
But if we get down to,say,a 4-pt race, we're within what I call the Omero-Gelman margin,from this must-read article.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...he-polling-world-rarely-talks-about.html?_r=0
That's where those arbitrary decisions really do become consequential, and systemic poll failure is a *real* possibility. 13/13
 
http://www.prnewswire.com/news-rele...-doctors-surveyed-reports-aaps-300350768.html

"We assembled five prominent economists from across the political spectrum. We gave them a simple task: Identify major economic policies they could all stand behind. They did. They gave us five tax proposals, plus one change to the criminal code, that every one of them could support wholeheartedly, from left to right.

The six proposals agreed to by economists of all political stripes:
- Eliminate mortgage interest deduction
- Eliminate health insurance benefits deduction
- Eliminate corporate income tax
- Eliminate personal income and payroll taxes
- Institute some form of consumption tax
- Legalize drugs such as marijuana"

Not one mention of a wall! Sad! Hacks!
 

Donald Trump refuses to accept result of Great British Bake Off.......

Donald Trump has shocked political pundits on both sides of the Atlantic by refusing to accept the result of the Great British Bake Off final.

The final was won last night by Candice Brown, but Mr Trump had been a supporter of Andrew Smythe ever since he saw his tropical holiday roulade.

“I can’t accept it. I’m sorry, but I just can’t,” said the micro-handed sociopath and Republican candidate.

“We know that the election system in our own great country is rigged. It is, it really is. We know this because I’ve repeated it on many occasions.

“So how do we know that the Great British Bake Off isn’t similarly rigged? After all, it’s run by the BBC, a well-known organisation of communists.

“I can’t think of any other reason. No other reason at all that Andrew Smythe didn’t win. I mean, did you see those clockwork pies?”

His opponent, Hilary Clinton declared herself shocked at Mr Trump’s comments.

“I, for one, am appalled that someone who is the nominee of one of the two major parties would take that position.

“Candice deserved the win for her marzipan peacock alone.”

Mr Trump has also hinted that he may refuse to accept the result of Strictly if Danny Mac doesn’t win.

“I will tell you at the time,” he said.

“I’ll keep you in suspense.”

LOL, but like the election, it matters equally to the outcome.

screen-shot-2014-01-05-at-1-51-23-pm.png


That's right. It just doesn't matter.
 
http://www.prnewswire.com/news-rele...-doctors-surveyed-reports-aaps-300350768.html

"We assembled five prominent economists from across the political spectrum. We gave them a simple task: Identify major economic policies they could all stand behind. They did. They gave us five tax proposals, plus one change to the criminal code, that every one of them could support wholeheartedly, from left to right.

The six proposals agreed to by economists of all political stripes:
- Eliminate mortgage interest deduction
- Eliminate health insurance benefits deduction
- Eliminate corporate income tax
- Eliminate personal income and payroll taxes
- Institute some form of consumption tax
- Legalize drugs such as marijuana"

This makes far too much sense and breaks far too many administrative/regulatory rice bowls to ever be enacted. The boost to the economy would probably save the world, though.
 

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