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Groucho's Fact Hunt

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Lincoln was shot in Ford's theatre
 


All that might be true, but there wasn't a grassy knoll in the theatre where the real shooter was...and that's where it all falls down
Not really, it falls down in the beginning.

If you really look for coincidences you can find them between any two historical figures - Attila the Hun was leader of the Huns from 445 to 453; Harry S. Truman was leader of America from 1945 to 1953. Both took office after the death of the previous leader and both were succeeded by military leaders; etc.

It's a really odd type of confirmation bias anyway (would be keeping with the theme of this thread if I could remember it...). It can also be made about other events/objects of choice, as long as you actually look really hard for the "similarities" - "Futility, Or The Wreck of the Titan", a novel by Morgan Robertson, 'succesfully predicts' the events of the Titanic, 14 years earlier - a ship named "The Titan" crashes into an iceberg and sinks. Except the whole things overlooks the fact that Titan and Titanic are both different names, for one, even if they are similar. The Titan was significantly smaller, and also a sail-ship, whereas the Titanic had steam engines and was massive; when the Titan crashes a large part of the crew survives and has to survive in extreme conditions (either cannibalising other survivors or seals or something, I'm writing this from memory, soz abar that) and several actually live on; the ships also crash in pretty different parts of the world, and so on.

The same phenomenon can be observed with people who think Nostradamus was amazingly, scarily accurate with his predictions - he's got a few things vaguely right but, overall, I think statistically his successful prediction ratio is something like 3% or something, as he made several hundred/"early" thousand and got a double-digit number right.

Full list of things wrong with the Lincoln/Kennedy 'similarities', if anyone is arsed - http://www.snopes.com/history/american/lincoln-kennedy.asp . I don't want to copy it because it's ridiculously long lol
 
Not really, it falls down in the beginning.

If you really look for coincidences you can find them between any two historical figures - Attila the Hun was leader of the Huns from 445 to 453; Harry S. Truman was leader of America from 1945 to 1953. Both took office after the death of the previous leader and both were succeeded by military leaders; etc.

It's a really odd type of confirmation bias anyway (would be keeping with the theme of this thread if I could remember it...). It can also be made about other events/objects of choice, as long as you actually look really hard for the "similarities" - "Futility, Or The Wreck of the Titan", a novel by Morgan Robertson, 'succesfully predicts' the events of the Titanic, 14 years earlier - a ship named "The Titan" crashes into an iceberg and sinks. Except the whole things overlooks the fact that Titan and Titanic are both different names, for one, even if they are similar. The Titan was significantly smaller, and also a sail-ship, whereas the Titanic had steam engines and was massive; when the Titan crashes a large part of the crew survives and has to survive in extreme conditions (either cannibalising other survivors or seals or something, I'm writing this from memory, soz abar that) and several actually live on; the ships also crash in pretty different parts of the world, and so on.

The same phenomenon can be observed with people who think Nostradamus was amazingly, scarily accurate with his predictions - he's got a few things vaguely right but, overall, I think statistically his successful prediction ratio is something like 3% or something, as he made several hundred/"early" thousand and got a double-digit number right.

Full list of things wrong with the Lincoln/Kennedy 'similarities', if anyone is arsed - http://www.snopes.com/history/american/lincoln-kennedy.asp . I don't want to copy it because it's ridiculously long lol
Called The Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy!

#FactHunt
 

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