Still think we need to be cautious. The absolute goal is safety, the practical goal is safety with a game to spare at least. That raises the stakes ever so slightly. I don't think Burnley or Leeds see it in those terms.
Worst case scenario for me is Leeds + 6 points Burnley +4 points. That's worst case so unlikely.
On that basis 39 points is sufficient maybe even 38 on GD. I'd be disappointed with 6 points from us in the run-in but if we stay up we can leave the recriminations aside for a while.
If we win today I'm 85% certain we stay up. I don't think we will though.