What are you basing this on mate?
We haven't exactly had a difficult run up until now and have won 1 game in 9.
In January we lose Iwobi to AFCON (no big loss) and most likely Richarlison and Mina to their international teams (there's another international break in late Jan for the South American teams).
So we could be just as short of numbers as we are now (3 players out), and that's assuming we don't pick up injuries over the festive period and January.
Oh I see the patterns, absolutely. But doesn't mean that you stick with the dreadful choice that we have right now does it?
Injuries abating. He's already won games with the spine of the side intact earlier in the season against similar opposition to the 7 games we have from 30 December til 26 February. He'll also have at least two fewer games in that time than Ancelotti played in 2021 as the fixture congestion eases up (we've played four more league games this season by this date than the last.)
But basically it comes back to 'the pattern'. This squad always has mini-spurts of good form, then drop off a cliff. They are cowards who need to be given a flat run to play into confidence, and some of the sides coming up will give them it. Newcastle and Norwich are absolutely dreadful, I saw it with my own eyes yesterday.
But while I'm fairly confident Benitez will pick up around 14 from 21 points available in that Jan/Feb run if I had to guess (not because I'm a Benitez fan but because I think ANY manager would), he has to earn the right to be given that chance, because if we're on, say, 18 points going into the new year then that run of games is about relegation survival at that point and he should be sacked.