Fellow posted this on Reddit, showing the remaining fixtures for us, Leeds, and Burnley:
View attachment 163246
I think there are two things to consider here:
1) Is Burnley really starting a good run of form? Or did Southampton just do their usual get-safe-and-then-quit-trying routine? Because if it's the former, there's a very good chance they pick up 10-12 more points from their fixtures, especially if Villa continue their poor form. If the Southampton win was just a one-off, though, then maybe they're looking at more like 6-7 points. Could go either way, really, but it should be much clearer after we see them play Wolves.
2) If Leeds lose to Palace this weekend, things have the potential to get really interesting between us and them. Because just as we're not likely to get much from our next two, they're not likely to get much from their next three after Palace. So let's say we get nothing from Liverpool and Chelsea, but they get nothing from Palace, City, Chelsea, and Arsenal (not impossible). Were we to somehow get 4 points between Watford and Leicester in GW36 (I know, both away - trying to cling to some kind of hope here), we'd actually pass them on goal difference heading into the last two game weeks, where we'd still have a game in hand.
So Leeds' game this weekend is massive to keep them from getting dragged into this.
Also highlights just how big Richy missing those two sitters against Leicester was. Even one of those goes in, we win, and we're really pushing Leeds from here on out, not to mention having some breathing room on Burnley.