Zatara
Player Valuation: £100m
What experience is that then? Because it looks to me like you've got zilch
Even a US lawyer @Hellerad who works in the field said you got it wrong
Not really sure why you're blatantly masquerading as someone working in any relevant financial field to the discussion.
Its transparent. You have a guess (as we all do) and wont deviate from that.
I on the other hand am quite happy to take @Hellerad at face value and of course its quite clear that IF the capital used in the loan has been obtained fraudulently red flags will emerge.
Due diligence will have been undertaken on 777 and the origin of funds (standard practice). Two entities dont simply enter this type of relationship without those questions being asked and documents provided.
I've posted my opinion which is as close to the post people are linking from the person on twitter which doesnt seem to be a coincidence -- its the most realistic and likely outcome based on all of the evidence.
It’s not challenging. They paid those debts off to enter exclusivity but also leapfrogged the 777 debt. They have security.
They don’t believe Acap is in a position to wait for their money and wanted to restructure (not refinance, restructure) that debt.
Again, if they felt the club was worth 850 or a billion, the deal would have closed regardless of the 777 debt, there would be no leverage issues with the PL
I’ll just end it here. Whatever the issue with 777, they didn’t feel it was worth the risk to move forward.
I believe your thinking has changed a little bit.
1: Yes they paid the debts to enter exclusivity. They were aware of ALL of the debts with 777, MSP, B&D + R&M.
Therefore they knew the numbers & their valuation of the club and proceeded with the MSP & B&D payments to enter exclusivity.
2: If they believed ACAP needed the loan paid off asap, then were willing to walk away from the deal purely based upon that not being the case...there is a possibility that may be true and you could well be correct.
However, if they were so confident about this (confident enough to pay £200mil+ to MSP, B&D + Moshiri) then it would make them overly confident which I dont believe a company like that would typically be at least without clear knowledge of the situation and agreement terms.
I think thats fair. The caveat being that as you say they do have security against the stadium.
But it still doesnt add up that they would proceed in this manner...unless it was the first move and (as with Roma) they and Everton were and are calling ACAPs bluff.
Again that may be the case, does it seem likely? Looking at this conservatively, I dont believe so.
3: The club will be worth £850mil - £1billion (excluding debt) once the stadium is built. Thats what I believe, impossible to prove at this stage of course.
Clearly theres substantial room there to get the deal done and as you say (and i agree with) based on the numbers alone the deal would be completed.
4: From my understanding, you believe that if ACAP had indeed wanted the loan paid promptly there was an even greater opportunity for TFG to profit from the deal. Without that they have pulled away.
I believe that they wanted to restructure all remaining debts once the stadium was completed -- thus not using any additional capital of their own to proceed with your suggestion (or simply paying off that 777 debt).
We have different views, both possible. It appears to me that B&D with Dell or VICI based on what we know about their proposals would get this over the line if i am right.
Lets see