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The remaining 14 Games

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By Wednesday Arsrenal and ourselves will be caught up on 34 games.
They have West Ham (H) we have Sunderland (A), Palace (H).

Obviously focusing on our own games and getting 6pts is the main thing, but it would be great if Big Sam could do us a real 5-at-the-back stodgy 0-0 favour
 
We need to do some damage on the goals front, as I think if we can improve our +5 goals difference against Arsenal that could be the equivalent of an extra point.
 
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Not quite the same thing, but since this is already a nerd thread: Top-7 results

Home
Chelsea 6-0-0
City 6-0-0
Liverpool 4-0-0 (2 remain)
Everton 2-2-0 (2 remain)
Arsenal 2-4-0
Spurs 1-2-3
United 1-1-4

Away
City 2-1-1 (2 remain)
Liverpool 2-1-3
Chelsea 0-3-2 (1 remains)
United 0-2-3 (1 remains)
Everton 1-1-4
Spurs 1-1-4
Arsenal 1-0-5

All games
City 8-1-1 (2 remain), 25 pts
Chelsea 6-3-2 (1 remains), 21 points
Liverpool 6-1-3 (1 remains), 19 pts
Everton 3-3-4 (2 remain), 12 pts
Arsenal 3-4-5, 13 pts
Spurs 2-3-7, 9 pts
United 1-3-7 (1 remains), 6 pts
 
Well I'm not sure on the purpose of this thread so I'm going to guess. Sunderland W, palace W,
Man Utd W, Soton D, man city L, Hull W
13/18
 

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 pointers (must win games) = 12 points
Palace (H) = 0 points
West Ham (H) = 3 points
Cardiff (H) = 3 points
Swansea (H) = 3 points

Total = 9 points

Those 4 games are a must win games, we should get 12 points from those fixtures, no ifs or buts
Update: 3 wins and 1 defeat, 9 points out of 12, lost 3 points in this category
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2 pointers (Should win) = 8 points
Fulham (A) = 3 points
Sunderland (A) = 3 points
United (H) = 3 points

Hull (A)


Those 4 games are games we should win but we won’t win all of them, I can see couple of draws and couple of wins, should not lose any game though
Update: Already passed the 8 points target, we got 9 points and still have to play Hull
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1.5 pointers (50-50 games) = 3 points
Newcastle (A) = 3 points
Southampton (A)


I will go with one win and one defeat, 2 draws are very likely, one win and one draw will be great but one defeat and one draw are also likely
Update: Goal achieved, 3 points with Southampton remaining
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 pointers (should at least get a point games) = 3 points
Spurs (A) = 0 points
Arsenal (H) = 3 points
City (H)


If we win one of those 3 games, the goal will be achieved, I can see us getting 4 points though
Update: won one and lost the other, goal achieved with a game (city) to spare
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
0 points (Bonus games) = 0 point
Chelsea (A) = 0 points

Luckily we only have Chelsea away where we should not expect anything from the game
Update: As expected, we lost and got no point from the bonus game ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Total 26 points, with 1.85 point per game which will give us 71 points, our current point per game average is 1.875
Update: Points per game is now 1.97 which will give us 75 points over 38 games, all in all, we got 24 points from the predicted 21.5 points
Note that i projected we will finish with 71 points, currently we have 69 points and with my projection, we should finish with 73 or 74 points.
 
Arsenal
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 pointers (must win games) = 15 Points
Sunderland (H) = 3 points
Swansea (H) = 1 point
West Ham (H) = 3 points

Newcastle (H)
WBA (H)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2 pointers (Should win) = 4 points
Hull (A) = 3 points
Norwich (A)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 pointers (should at least get a point games) = 4 points
Stoke (A) = 0 points
Spurs (A) = 3 points
City (H) = 1 point
Everton (A) = 0 point

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
0 points (Bonus games) = 0 point
Chelsea (A) = 0 points
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Total 79 points, what will guaranty them Top 4 is the 5 home games against Sunderland, Swansea, West Ham, Newcastle and WBA

Update: Arsenal got 14 points from the projected 15 points, currently averaging 2 points per game which will give them 76 points over 38 games, with my projection, they will finish with 77* points
 
3 pointers (must win games) = 12 points
Palace (H) = 0 points
West Ham (H) = 3 points
Cardiff (H) = 3 points
Swansea (H) = 3 points


Those 4 games are a must win games, we should get 12 points from those fixtures, no ifs or buts
Update: 3 wins and 1 defeat, 9 points out of 12, lost 3 points in this category = 9 points
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2 pointers (Should win) = 8 points
Fulham (A) = 3 points
Sunderland (A) = 3 points
United (H) = 3 points

Hull (A)


Those 4 games are games we should win but we won’t win all of them, I can see couple of draws and couple of wins, should not lose any game though
Update: Already passed the 8 points target, we got 9 points and still have to play Hull
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1.5 pointers (50-50 games) = 3 points
Newcastle (A) = 3 points
Southampton (A)
= 0 points

I will go with one win and one defeat, 2 draws are very likely, one win and one draw will be great but one defeat and one draw are also likely
Update: Goal achieved, as predicted, one win and one defeat = 3 points
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 pointers (should at least get a point games) = 3 points
Spurs (A) = 0 points
Arsenal (H) = 3 points
City (H)


If we win one of those 3 games, the goal will be achieved, I can see us getting 4 points though
Update: won one and lost the other, goal achieved with a game (city) to spare
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
0 points (Bonus games) = 0 point
Chelsea (A) = 0 points

Luckily we only have Chelsea away where we should not expect anything from the game
Update: As expected, we lost and got no point from the bonus game ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Total 26 points, with 1.85 point per game which will give us 71 points, our current point per game average is 1.875
Update: Points per game is now 1.91 which will give us 73 points over 38 games, all in all, we got 24 points from the predicted 23 points
Note that i projected we will finish with 71 points, currently we have 69 points and with my projection, we should finish with 72 points.
 
I will update this after every game

We still have 14 games in the league:
Spurs (A)
Palace (H)
Chelsea (A)
West Ham (H)
Newcastle (A)
Cardiff (H)
Swansea (H)
Fulham (A)
Arsenal (H)
Sunderland (A)
United (H)
Southampton (A)
City (H)
Hull (A)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 pointers (must win games) = 12 points
Palace (H)
West Ham (H)
Cardiff (H)
Swansea (H)


Those 4 games are a must win games, we should get 12 points from those fixtures, no ifs or buts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2 pointers (Should win) = 8 points

Fulham (A)
Sunderland (A)
United (H)
Hull (A)

Those 4 games are games we should win but we won’t win all of them, I can see couple of draws and couple of wins, should not lose any game though
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1.5 pointers (50-50 games) = 3 points
Newcastle (A)
Southampton (A)


I will go with one win and one defeat, 2 draws are very likely, one win and one draw will be great but one defeat and one draw are also likely
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 pointers (should at least get a point games) = 3 points
Spurs (A)
Arsenal (H)
City (H)


If we win one of those 3 games, the goal will be achieved, I can see us getting 4 points though
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
0 points (Bonus games) = 0 point
Chelsea (A)

Luckily we only have Chelsea away where we should not expect anything from the game
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Total 26 points, with 1.85 point per game which will give us 71 points, our current point per game average is 1.875

I projected we will finish with 71 points, we finished with 72, not bad

From the 3 pointers I projected we will get 12 points, we got 9 (lost to Palace)
From the 2 pointers I projected we will get 8 points, we got 12 (won all of the 4 2 pointers)
From the 1.5 pointers I projected we will get 3 points, we got 3 (won one and lost one as projected)
From the 1 pointers I projected we will get 3 points, we got 3
From the 0 pointer I projected we will get 0 points, we got 0
 

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