I wouldn't be surprised if the movie was near enough Tony's biggest payday before this fight , he's earned this both by his career thus far and by creating a situation that meant Haye was interested and clamour generated .
As for the fight Haye has been at this weight for years and been comfortable at it whilst it's a step up for Bellew. That in itself is a risk , Haye was also in his prime one of the best fighters we've produced . Haye can certainly bang and has taken a dig from some big heavyweights and stood up to it .
All that certainly puts him as a serious favourite. In bellew's favour you've got an opponent who hasn't had a test more than sparring for about 4 years and has had some injuries in the past .
You'd obviously have to make Haye a favourite but he also missed with shots in his last couple of fights and he didn't trust himself to face a decent opponent . if he misses against Bellew he's got a real chance of getting tagged and if he takes one then he's going to have to rethink his whole plan and thought process to the fight, everyone has a plan til somebody hits them . I'd also say his fitness might rightly be a worry and ring fit is very different to him looking the part .
you'd hope that the way Tony has got under his skin might also be a factor and have an effect on Haye and we might see him less than clinical , which is clearly what Bellew is aiming for .
I'm hoping this injury stuff might have an effect even if it's just Haye trying to give himself an out. he's pulled out before against opponents and I'm not sure he'd have a future if he did it again . Hearn and bellew called him on it and it seems the fight will be going ahead , they attitude suggests they were concerned it could go off but somebody with a dodgy Achilles surely doesn't kick a football on soccer am do they ?
Sorry for all that rambling , in short like most I think Haye may well be too big so it could be over early but I think a few factors give Bellew a slight chance . That's probably me just being hopeful though , first couple of exchanges will tell us that's for sure .