Match Thread Burnley v Everton - Preview, Match Report and MotM Poll

Everton Man of the Match


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2 - 1 Burnley

Weghorst double from 2 corners

A pointlessly late consolation from us to complete some sort of faux comeback and allow Lampard to stress we were the better team all along

Need to go man to man with Branthwaite on him.
But we’ll probably go zonal and he’ll pull onto Godfrey, and McNeil will plonk it straight on his head.
 

All our games are now big, big games. Can't afford to lose this one, a win would be brilliant but a draw would be okish. Then onto Manu at home.
 

At the very least match their work rate, do that and we have a chance.

It’s a game of football and I think some of these professional players need to look at themselves and what’s going on in the world . I understand confidence, in the grand scheme of things there is pressure and pressure outside of football.

Players and their agents are happy to take these ridiculous salaries (who wouldn’t) but where is the characters? I don’t see them in abundance any more.
 
All need us to get the win tonight just need the players to show fight be a great support again from all the fans goong down
 

Looks like the betting moved this to a 1-1 draw from a 1-0 to Burnley. I guess thats a good thing, yes?
It will be an ugly physical game though.
Burnley host Everton in what is a massive match-up at the bottom of the Premier League table. Liam Kelly picks out his best bet for the game at Turf Moor, expecting a fiery affair.


Football betting tips: Premier League​

1.5pts 50+ booking points in the match at 11/10 (Sky Bet)
Sky Bet odds
| Paddy Power | Betfair Sportsbook

Possibly the most important game in regards to Premier League safety so far this season.
Burnley enter the match-up in 19th place in the table, four points behind 17th-placed Everton, who sit just three points ahead of Watford and the last relegation spot.

Kick-off time: 19:30 BST, Wednesday​

TV channel: Sky Sports Main Event​

Burnley 6/4 | Draw 11/5 | Everton 19/10

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In such a vital match-up, it's difficult to parse any value from the main markets. Their position in the table makes it obvious that neither side are trustworthy from a betting perspective.
Everton's away woes are well-documented, scoring 11 and conceding 30 in gaining only six points in 14 road games all season. An expected goal difference (xGD) of -13.6 on their travels confirm their deep-rooted struggles.
However, would you back Burnley to take advantage of that weakness?
After all, Sean Dyche's side have won just two games at home this term, scoring only 10 goals at Turf Moor in the league.

The sheer scale of the game makes the under/over goals markets volatile, too.
If either team score first, the attacking intent of the other will change drastically. A must-win for both teams can just as easily result in a stalemate as a game chock-full of goals.
Per Infogol probabilities, Burnley's chances of safety rise to 63% with a win. If Everton claim all three points, Frank Lampard's team have an 86% chance of survival.
With so much on the line, and so much uncertainty, it's best to stick with what we do know when it comes to betting on this fixture. We know that it will be a fiery affair.
Relegation chances

Both Burnley and Everton rank in the top half of Premier League teams in total yellow cards this season, despite playing fewer games than almost every team. They average 1.82 and 2.03 per game respectively.
Granted that is lower than the 50+ BOOKING POINTS IN THE MATCH bet that is selected, but the magnitude of the game should be taken into account. As should the referee.
Mike Dean will take charge here, probably more so than people would like. Although Dean has averaged 3.26 yellow cards per game this season (and handed out a total of two reds), his reputation precedes him.
On what will be a wet night in front of a raucous home crowd, backing booking points is the way to go in a huge game at the bottom of the table.

Burnley v Everton best bets and score prediction​

  • 1.5pts 50+ booking points in the match at 11/10 (Sky Bet)
Score prediction: Burnley 1-1 Everton (Sky Bet odds: 15/2)
Odds correct at 1100 GMT (05/04/21)
 
If we are being honest.. it’s just not happening is it. We haven’t won away in the league since August.
 
Dyche will have his players in full survival mode now, their annual escape act has begun.

I fear their intensity and determination may scare our lads tonight. A game we should easily win to be fair but this is about character now, something we lack in spades.
 

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