Donald Trump for President Thread

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Hate to revisit this but I'm bored and reading this entire thread. I had this discussion with some other people when the video surfaced and I could not agree more with this post. People are latching onto what this campaign manager is claiming but the numbers simply don't work. In the last election, so state was decided by just a few thousand votes. I think the smallest margin of victory was about 30,000 votes in a state with roughly 4 electoral votes. Most every other state was decided by 100,000+ votes.

It would have to cost billions to pull of the scam in a meaningful way and how do you spend that amount without people noticing? How else do you get that many people to conspire and not tell another person?
That's one way, missing/spoiled ballots is another plus the good old postal votes.
 

Trump closed the debate brilliantly when he said that four years of Clinton would basically be four years of Obama. And that will resonate well in puplic I think.

Exciting 19 days ahead.

It's not over until it's over.

:)
 

Trump closed the debate brilliantly when he said that four years of Clinton would basically be four years of Obama. And that will resonate well in puplic I think.

Exciting 19 days ahead.

It's not over until it's over.

:)
I wish it would be 4 more years of Obama.

Does Trump not realize Obama is generally popular, except among the people that wouldn't be voting for Hillary regardless?
 
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...st-who-will-win-results-populus-a7097261.html

You can read the polls here. The YouGov one was only 2 so that might be one you saw however that was an online poll that normally favors Brexit.

There's loads of primaries they predicted him to lose and he swept them all but ultimately the only poll that matters is the election.

I'm not sure his job was to win over undecided voters although that's what people say. It looks like he went in with the strategy of getting out his base and in particular the Tea Party/Evangelicals who he has seen his support drop with due to the sex scandals - which has been the reason for his drop in the polls. If he can get them back then he's within 1 or 2 points like before and after that it's turnout and he will win if it comes down to turnout.

There's not many ways Trump can win. He needs to maximize everything but it's still possible if he can win those back and his stance on both the 2nd Amendment and abortion will have helped him greatly plus I think he did an excellent job with the sex scandal basically saying you can't trust Hillary which people can't.
Aye could well have been the YouGuv one, I had an operation that week so can't say I was following it very closely. I was following the primaries a bit closer though and can't off the top of my head think of one that the polls suggested he'd lose that he won but as you say it is all a bit immaterial anyhow as it is the one in November that counts.

I question your assertion on turnout - democrats have in recent years a much better get out the vote operation that targets and helps with low enthusiasm voters. Plus there is a large gender gap in US voting that has been present over the past 8 general elections, not only are there more women eligible than men but they are also more likely to vote than their male counterparts. That could well be a key component in this election (although I disagree with @Ashtonian 's reasoning of why, it does look like Clinton will win women by a much higher margin than Obama did).

I thought he did an awful job with the sex scandal issue but each to his/her own.
 

You mean the chap who has much higher approval ratings than either candidate and is at his most popular since 2009?
They do but the economy never really took off and people are getting a weary. It's a hard one to gauge. I sort of agree with you that I thought it was not the kind of think he should say to win undecided but then again I suspect he was appealing to his base last night.

And they hate Obama.
 
I wish it would be 4 more years of Obama.

Does Trump not realize Obama is generally popular, except among the people that wouldn't be voting for Hillary regardless?
I'd wish that only if he could push through what he originally set out to do with his presidency. I would not wish another 4 years of stagnant Congress on him.
 

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