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Manuel Pellegrini: Everton’s dream managerial target? via Royal Blue Mersey

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The Chilean has a history of success and a penchant for attacking football. Would he fit in at Everton?

Repeated failures to win very winnable games in the last couple of weeks will do little to put to bed calls for Roberto Martinez to be sacked this summer. It's looking increasingly like only an FA Cup victory can justify his staying, and there are well-founded doubts even about that.

Inevitably heads will turn to prospective managers, and one big name making the rounds recently is current Manchester City manager Manuel Pellegrini, who is set to be unemployed following the expiration of his contract at the end of this season.

We'll take a look at the Chilean's background and qualifications, and if he is a realistic target for the Toffees.

Experience


Pellegrini began his managerial career at the club where he ended his playing career, Universidad de Chile. Following some highs and lows in both Chile and Argentina, La Liga's Villarreal hired him in 2004. He made an immediate impact at the club, finishing in 3rd place during his first season, and reaching the Champions League group stages in the subsequent campaign courtesy of a still-stinging 4-2 aggregate defeat of our very own Everton FC.

Villarreal finished 7th that season, but Pellegrini kept them in the top 5 for the following three La Liga campaigns until Real Madrid came calling in 2009. Los Blancos accrued a then-club record 96 points that season but it was only good enough for 2nd place behind a very, very good Barcelona side. Somewhat miraculously (or not, depending on well you know Real Madrid), Pellegrini was sacked anyway and replaced by José Mourinho. He moved to Málaga a few months into the 2010-11 season and proceeded to guide them to a 4th place finish in 2011-12 and made an impressive Champions League run in 2012-13.

After finishing out of European places that year, Man City hired Pellegrini as a replacement for Roberto Mancini. Since then, they've been one of the more dominant teams in the league, riding 102 league goals to a title in 2013-14, and finishing 2nd last season.

Transfer market


With Villarreal not having the deepest pockets in La Liga, Pellegrini's spending was fairly modest during his time at El Madrigal. Buying Diego Forlán for €3.2 million and selling him 3 years later for €21 million must be counted as a success, as well as the free signing of Joan Capdevila and the purchase of Santi Cazorla for just €1.2 million in 2007-08. On the other hand, shelling out €6.5 million for a 19-year-old Jozy Altidore in 2008 may not have been a stroke of genius, though as always it's difficult to know exactly how involved the manager was in any of these transfers.

It is worth noting that after his firing at the hands of Florentino Pérez he lamented Real Madrid's unbalanced transfer policy with this golden quote:


"It's no good having an orchestra with the 10 best guitarists if I don't have a pianist–Real Madrid have the best guitarists, but if I ask them to play the piano they won't be able to do it so well"

Pellegrini joined Málaga just a few months after their finances were significantly bolstered under a new owner. Veterans Martín Demichelis and Júlio Baptista joined for €3 million and €2.5 million, respectively, and Cazorla, Jérémy Toulalan, Nacho Monreal, Isco, and Joaquín all joined the following year amidst a €59.25 million spending spree. Cazorla and Monreal left for the Premier League the following year, and Pellegrini followed a season later.

As we all know, Man City are big spenders. With that inevitably comes a significant amount of hits as well as misses. Stefan Jovetic has yet to justify his £22 million price tag, and £40 million for Eliaquim Mangala still seems like a stretch. In truth though with the amount of money flowing in and around the Emirates, certain transfer failures are tolerable, and again it is difficult to determine the say that Pellegrini has in any particular one. Fernandinho was pricey at £30 million but has become a success, and the same could be said about this year's budding star Kevin De Bruyne.

Overall his performance on more limited budgets at Villarreal and Málaga reflects well, and there have been enough success stories with the big money at City that the few failures shouldn't weigh too too heavily.

Philosophy


Pellegrini's preferred game is one of possession, organization, attacking movement, and artistry:


"Aesthetics are important. People want to be entertained and the coach has a responsibility for that. Fans come to see things they are not capable of doing. We have great movement in this team and like to use the ball. We always try to win, never to draw. We don't focus on opponents but on ourselves. I'm also sure that playing beautiful football makes it more likely you'll win."

Earlier in his European career he became associated with the 4-2-2-2, which @tikitactic breaks down quite nicely here. In this tactic, attacking width is provided by the fullbacks, whereas the "wingers" are instructed to occupy the half-spaces and central areas, and the two forwards are encouraged to do the opposite, making diagonal runs towards into the channels and wider areas to create space.

At Manchester City he has become more associated with the 4-2-3-1, though he hasn't completely lost his affinity for two-striker systems, and will occasionally still use the 4-2-2-2/4-4-2, as against West Brom most recently.

Philosophically Pellegrini differs from some of his esteemed peers in that he does not appear to have delusions of grandeur regarding his own influence, or the importance of a perfect tactical plan. In another worthwhile profile @tikitactic notes that the Chilean is "not obsessive" and takes a more holistic, less football-crazy approach to life. "The manager who just knows about football is lacking," he says.

Within football Pellegrini has remarked that his influence during the actual game is "minimal," and that it is during the week's training that he imposes his vision on the team, which focuses of course on tactical theory, but also intelligence:


"Tactics are not just theory, but more the intelligence you show on the pitch. You have to have the intelligence to find the answer inside the game."

On the other hand, his willingness to be pragmatic has been called into question when his side falls to an opponent more willing to sacrifice the beautiful game, such as after a 1-0 defeat to José Mourinho's Chelsea in 2014, or more recently following a somewhat topsy turvy 2-2 draw away at Paris St-Germain in the Champions League. For what it's worth, Pellegrini followed up with a perfectly Van Gaal/Mourinho-esque 1-0 for the home leg.

Pragmatic or not, Pellegrini's teams have rarely had an issue with finding the back of the net–his teams have never finished outside the top 10 in goals scored:

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Defensively the record has been slightly less sterling though in recent years City have been a tough nut to crack. Despite this season's sometimes indifferent form, they remain top 3 in expected goals against according to both Paul Riley and Michael Caley.

Those who have delighted in Roberto Martinez's attacking prowess but have tired of the leaky defense (should be most of us by now, no?) may reasonably see Pellegrini as a better version of Martinez–the same philosophical commitment to aesthetic football, but coupled with a structural knowledge of how to impose organization and stability without sacrificing creativity and movement. It's that knowledge that Martinez seems to lack at the moment, or more charitably, is struggling to impart on the team.

Feasibility


It's difficult to say where Pellegrini will end up after this season. Man City are out of the title race, but have a legitimate shot at winning the Champions League. If they pull it off, where will his head be in terms of what he wants to do next? In that context it's a bit hard to imagine that Everton will tick off the boxes his mental checklist–European champion managers don't often jump to join mid-table sides.

With that being said, the increased influx of cash due to the TV deal means that Premier League clubs of all statures remain an attractive place to be. Pellegrini admitted as much in comments a few weeks ago:


"There are a lot of interesting things here in England because all the clubs have the money to have a good project, so a lot of managers will be interested in a lot of clubs. With the new rights from the TV deal, you have more money and all the teams here in England can pick good players."

There are definitely some vagaries flying around here but the words "a good project" are pretty apt to describe where Everton are right now: new investment, young talent, and a hungry supporter base. Furthermore, the tactics and philosophy described in the previous section are not far out of step from the direction towards which Everton as a whole are purporting to move. Were Pellegrini to look at Everton, he would see a squad and an organization likely to be receptive to his methods and his ideology.

Ultimately that's probably what any Toffee hoping to bring Pellegrini to Goodison will have to hope for: that he sees in Everton what he saw in Málaga. I perhaps wouldn't advise you bet your life savings on it happening, but it's also not out of the question. At 8/1, maybe it's worth a fiver.


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Should David Moyes Make a Triumphant Return To Everton? via Royal Blue Mersey

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Do the Toffees really want Moyes back?

In the second article of our look at some candidates to possibly replace Roberto Martinez at the end of the season, we take a look at a very familiar face – David Moyes. Despite leading Everton to an FA Cup semifinal berth, and possibly more, there is a lot of unhappiness about the incumbent Spaniard on Merseyside. Though we haven't heard many rumors coming from Goodison Park, the question has to be asked if Martinez is up for the job of pushing Everton to that next level, and if he isn't who would be the best candidate.

The answer might surprise you because he is a familiar face. David Moyes left Everton for what he hoped were better days at Manchester United, but now he finds himself with some free time.

Experience


A lot of David Moyes' experience came at Everton, but stints before and after his time on Merseyside have shaped his managerial style. Before arriving at the Blues, Moyes was the Preston North End manager from 1998-2002 and took them from League Two relegation battles to the cusp of the Premier League. He was in charge for 234 matches and led Preston North End to 113 wins, 58 draws, and 63 losses.

In March of 2002 Moyes was named manager of Everton and began a stint that would see him take charge of the Toffees for over 500 matches spanning a little over 11 years. Under his watch Everton went from a relegation battle to becoming the first outside club to qualify for the Champions League. Though he never did win that trophy nor return to the Champions League, Moyes established Everton as a constant outside threat to the top 4 and put Everton into Europe with some consistency.

Following Everton, Moyes went to Manchester United where he was removed after less than a full season in charge despite having a record better than current manager Louis Van Gaal who has somehow kept his job. From there Moyes was hired by La Liga side Real Sociedad. There Moyes performed something akin to a miracle by keeping the Spanish side from relegation in his first season in charge. He was then sacked this past November after a poor start to the season.

Club Games Wins Draws Losses
Preston North End 234 113 58 63
Everton 518 218 139 161
Manchester United 51 27 9 15
Real Sociedad 42 12 15 15
Transfer Market


One thing that can always be said about David Moyes is his ability to find a good deal. For a variety of reasons Moyes never had a huge transfer budget while at Everton, but he was still able to bring in some quality players. Just to name a few he brought in Tim Cahill, Mikel Arteta, Leighton Baines, Steven Pienaar, and Seamus Coleman. All pretty important players that contributed significantly.

Moyes also had some duds, but that seemed to come when trying to find the right strikers and attacking midfielders. Because of the ridiculous market, Moyes was never able to find a consistent striker. Players like Andy Johnson, Ayegbeni Yakubu, and Louis Saha all had moments of brilliance, but they couldn't sustain their play for a variety of reasons including injury and old age. That said, a good part of that problem was because of the transfer budget he was provided. Moyes appeared to value building depth with several less expensive pieces rather than spend the entire budget on one player. A frustration to many supporters, but something that worked well. When Moyes did decide to spend, he did well with players like Marouane Fellaini.

Philosophy


David Moyes is your traditional British manager with a slight twist. He's never been a huge fan of the 4-4-2, but he does opt for a conservative 4-5-1 with 2 defensive midfielders. The big difference from a lot of managers is that Moyes expects his outside midfielders to do a tremendous amount of work on defense. He also expects his midfielders and forwards to cover a lot of ground defending as well. It is part of the reason players like Ross Barkley didn't get as much time as fans wanted under Moyes. He does not bend for his defensive requirements and it shows in his player selection.

In addition to work from the outside midfielders, Moyes expects his fullbacks to get forward with overlapping runs and provide crosses. Leighton Baines is the best example of this and his rise to national prominence came because of how involved he became in Everton's attack.

Moyes will tend to bunker up against more talented sides and play for goals on the counter attack. Sometimes it was frustrating to watch, but it did lead to a lot of memorable victories over top 4 sides. As great as these victories were, there would also be infuriating draws against inferior sides. Losses were much rarer than what we see under Roberto Martinez, but draws in games where we seemed to dominate were much more common and frustrating. There was just an inability to break down opposing defenses with enough creativity, though that could have something to do with the quality of offensive players we had at the time.

Feasibility


David Moyes is tough to assess. On one hand he is the perfect antidote to our current problem of giving up goals in bunches. Just based on his defensive work we should see those numbers go down regardless of how our playing squad changes this summer. But the question then becomes how do we score goals, and will Everton score enough of them. If Moyes has learned from his time away from Everton and wants to make use of players like Romelu Lukaku and Ross Barkley we could see the perfect balance, but it is a risk.

There is also the question of if it is worth trotting out a former manager once again. Trying to recreate the same magic we saw at Everton several years ago is risky. There is no guarantee Moyes is the right man to fix Everton now, and it is hard to say if he even wants to return. Everton supporters weren't exactly kind nor fair to him when he moved to Manchester United, and that has to weigh on him.

Maybe the best spot for Moyes is as an emergency candidate. Someone the club can turn to if no one else impresses in interviews, but making him the top choice or even one of the finalists seems like a risky venture that will not end well for Moyes or the club. The odds are shortening all the time on the Scotsman's return to Merseyside, currently at 3/1.


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Martinez urges unity ahead of decisive week via Royal Blue Mersey

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Boss understands the supporters' frustrations but needs their backing against Liverpool and Man Utd

Roberto Martinez has acknowledged the simmering frustration among the fanbase but has urged the supporters to get behind the team ahead of the most decisive week of his tenure.

Everton face a daunting trip to Anfield and ab FA Cup semi-final at Wembley in the space of four days, with defeat in both games almost certainly pushing Martinez beyond the point of no return.

The Spaniard has lost the support of most of the fanbase after yet another below-par campaign, particularly at home where they will yield their lowest ever points haul even if they win their final two games.

Tensions have spilled over in recent weeks, with supporters expressing their frustration in the form of protest banners. One fan even ran on the pitch in an attempt to remonstrate with Martinez against Southampton on Saturday.

It leaves the club seemingly in a state of disarray ahead of their two biggest matches of the season as they seek to end their 17-year Anfield hoodoo as well as edge closer to winning a first trophy since 1995.

Martinez accepts the criticism hurled in his direction but has called on the fractured fanbase to unite as one behind the team – for the next few days at least.


"We need to make sure this week we make them proud. I know when we need their support, they are always there.

"I understand why there has been unrest. Our results at home haven’t been anywhere near where we have wanted.

"But we have a very tight group and everybody is desperate to be on the pitch to help the side.

"(Goodison) could be an incredibly positive place this time next week. That’s what we are fighting for.

"We have that in our side. You work for 10 months to be able to get into a semi-final of an FA Cup."


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