Everton ~ Leeds
Everton have a one point advantage Because Leeds' goal difference is vastly inferior (by 18 goals) Everton need 2 points from 2 games (or, if Leeds to fail to win at Brentford on Sunday, no points will be required)
Everton ~ Burnley
Everton have a 2 point advantage - there is a scenario whereby Everton can draw tonight (or Sunday) and still finish above Burnley if they get 3 points.
If Everton lose say 0-1 and draw 0-0 (for example) and finish on 37 GD - 21. Burnley, presently on 34 -18 could lose by 4 and win by 1 in their two games. (e.g. Villa 4-0 loss and Newcastle 1-0 win). Precisely only a 1 goal win/defeat for Burnley/Everton if we assume a 4 goal defeat at Villa (as 5 or more is slightly unrealistic). Burnley need at least 2 points from the 3 games (and, should they lose tonight, definitely a win on Sunday)
Summary
Everton 0 pts from 2 games: Need Leeds to fail to win Sunday or Burnley to get 0-1 point from 2 games - 2 pts would be enough to save Burnley on GD
Everton 1 pt from 2 games: Need Leeds to fail to win Sunday or Burnley to get only 1 or 2 point from 2 games - or 3 pts if the net goal difference is less than +2 in Everton's favour over the 4 games involving these 2 clubs
Everton 2 pts or more Everton will be safe.
Everton have a one point advantage Because Leeds' goal difference is vastly inferior (by 18 goals) Everton need 2 points from 2 games (or, if Leeds to fail to win at Brentford on Sunday, no points will be required)
Everton ~ Burnley
Everton have a 2 point advantage - there is a scenario whereby Everton can draw tonight (or Sunday) and still finish above Burnley if they get 3 points.
If Everton lose say 0-1 and draw 0-0 (for example) and finish on 37 GD - 21. Burnley, presently on 34 -18 could lose by 4 and win by 1 in their two games. (e.g. Villa 4-0 loss and Newcastle 1-0 win). Precisely only a 1 goal win/defeat for Burnley/Everton if we assume a 4 goal defeat at Villa (as 5 or more is slightly unrealistic). Burnley need at least 2 points from the 3 games (and, should they lose tonight, definitely a win on Sunday)
Summary
Everton 0 pts from 2 games: Need Leeds to fail to win Sunday or Burnley to get 0-1 point from 2 games - 2 pts would be enough to save Burnley on GD
Everton 1 pt from 2 games: Need Leeds to fail to win Sunday or Burnley to get only 1 or 2 point from 2 games - or 3 pts if the net goal difference is less than +2 in Everton's favour over the 4 games involving these 2 clubs
Everton 2 pts or more Everton will be safe.
Last edited: