Put as you have here we have a good case to avoid a points deduction.
We firstly need to avoid the drop this season and hope we don't get docked points next. If they did decide to apply a deduction I don't think it would be a token 3 points which would be my worry.
My other concern is that a decision not to go down the deduction route would lead to a transfer ban or fine being unnecessarily punitive to compensate and appease those pushing against us. Both have obvious implications for a squad in desperate need of reinforcement.
We just don't know. There seems to be a general consensus that there will be a punishment of some sort though and it's hard to argue against that. They have the options and they can do serious, and potentially fatal damage.
I'd like to think this is where the best corporate and financial lawyers earn their corn and we will put up the most rigourous defence. We have the arguments. The club have said they will contest robustly.
We have to accept the possibility of a points deduction or other serious punishment however if we have the best possible advocates arguing our case before the commission, then there is also the possibility of avoiding any severe sanctions.