I don’t quite get the betting in today’s Sky Bet chase Doncaster 3:15.
The favourite Cap Du nord is 3/1, yet Canelo who finishd 4 lengths behind him but enjoys a 4lb gain at the weights is 6/1.
I’d have thought they’d have been much closer in the betting, especially when the stats show that only 3 out of the last 18 favourites have won this and that claiming jockeys have a poor record, Cap du nord is ridden by a claimer.
It appears at face value that Cap du nord has a great chance but surely then so does Canelo at twice the price. Canelo’s trainer Alan King has his horses running really well right now too, he had a winner yesterday.
The biggest priced winner in the last 18 runnings was 25/1 so I’m not expecting this to go to a complete outsider but one I think has a chance at 16/1 is Boldmere. He was running well last time out until making blunder which ruined his chance, it has the stats of weight and age on his side and is a course and distance winner.
I‘ve just had £20 win Canelo, 6/1 Corals and £10 EW Boldmere 16/1
Good luck with your bets today