Relegation 2022/23

[SussexToffee1980]

In 1996/97, 41 would have relegated Coventry on GD against Southampton if Boro didn't have those three points deducted.

 

[Bez2k2k]

I have Bournemouth, Southampton and Nottingham Forest to go down. Then Leeds, then Leicester then us.

 

[mikel_88]

Well looks like Leeds are DEFINITELY out of the relegation scrap here

Will have up and down results like other teams down at the bottom

 

[EFC_FRANCIS]

I just don't see a single team (outside Southampton and Bmouth) not going ppg. For the first time in ages there arent 2 teams that look like winning 28+ games

 

[catcherintherye]

Out of interest who would you have finishing on 33 points if not us?

I don't see Bournemouth/Southampton getting to 33 points mate.
I'm not sure all the other teams get much above bwteen 33-36.
There's just too many teams, and we can't all keep winning. Not with so many, teams going for Europe and the top 4, and Liverpool likely turning it around 2nd half of season.

It only takes 1 of about 6 teams to have a bit of a down run. That's my thinking. It's not like it's 2 teams then a gap. There's a group of teams.

 

[EFC_FRANCIS]

I just don't see a single team (outside Southampton and Bmouth) not going ppg. For the first time in ages there arent 2 teams that look like winning 28+ games

And we got beat by both of them arghhhhhhh

 

[catcherintherye]

Well looks like Leeds are DEFINITELY out of the relegation scrap here

Not sure if this is sarcasm, but even if they hang on, they are still bang in it.

 

[Mademan]

We’ll be out of the bottom 3 on Sunday night if United score 6 goals between now and then ?

 

[MikeH72]

I just don't see a single team (outside Southampton and Bmouth) not going ppg. For the first time in ages there arent 2 teams that look like winning 28+ games

Even in all the years when that didn’t happen it still didn’t take over 40 points to stay up.

 

[catcherintherye]

In 1996/97, 41 would have relegated Coventry on GD against Southampton if Boro didn't have those three points deducted.

When the league was won on about 75 points. The champions now get about 20 points more, and will probably be 5 ot 6 teams close to that mark.

 

[EFC_FRANCIS]

Even in all the years when that didn’t happen it still didn’t take over 40 points to stay up.

I don't think it takes 40 but I think it'll be closer to that than 33

 

[barneygumble]

Does anyone think its a bit arrogant to think we are getting 40 points nailed on, 100%...

IMO that is a high target, signs are encouraging but I`m not saying we are safe after 1 Dyche game and a point from safety with Liverpool away up next! We could be 4 points from safety after this weekend....

Got to break it down really and see what’s available.

For me, I break it into 3 catergories. Winnable, Tricky and Expect nothing.

5 out of 9 wins from
Leeds, Villa, Forest, Brentford, Fulham, Palace, Leicester, Wolves and Bournemouth

1 of 3 from
Brighton, Spurs and Newcastle

Take whatever from
Liverpool, Arsenal, Chelsea, United, City.

6 wins doesn’t look impossible, then picking up points to take us to points from half of the final
17 games means around 21 points.

I think 40 will be a push, and whilst I don’t want to rely on others, I think we’ll need someone to plummet.

 

[catcherintherye]

I just don't see a single team (outside Southampton and Bmouth) not going ppg. For the first time in ages there arent 2 teams that look like winning 28+ games

The counter is, it only takes 1 team to slip, out of 5 or 6. And City/Arsenal are looking on for 90+ points. Liverpool will probably go on a run at some point too, which is a 3rd team.

 

[blue to the bone]

I desperately hope 40 is well enough because it’s highly unlikely we are getting there. 22 points from 17 would be a massive turnaround for a team with no decent forwards. Be chuffed if it’s 35. Just think it’s highly unlikely due to the lack of bottom feeders this year.

I'll go 37. Not easy but last week was a good start.

 

[NorthernBlue]

I don't see Bournemouth/Southampton getting to 33 points mate.
I'm not sure all the other teams get much above bwteen 33-36.
There's just too many teams, and we can't all keep winning. Not with so many, teams going for Europe and the top 4, and Liverpool likely turning it around 2nd half of season.

It only takes 1 of about 6 teams to have a bit of a down run. That's my thinking. It's not like it's 2 teams then a gap. There's a group of teams.

Forget Southampton and Bournemouth. Them two are gone. They have to be. I don’t see any of the teams currently above finishing as low as 33. Would take a complete meltdown scenario for that to happen (West Ham will improve) Despite how poor they all have been this season they are still on course for around a 40 point finish if they maintain the same levels. Leeds are the one. But i still see them hitting 40
Finish above them and we stay up.