As before, I still think 38 points does it. A win versus Watford and we are in the drivers seat, and it would be a shock for Leeds or Burnley to win on Wednesday That means with 2 matches left a win and draw for Leeds wont work.
This win is big because it not just vaults us ahead of one team, but two, and now both would have to play above expectations to save themselves. Of course throw in one draw as well in our final matches and the other two would have to go 4 matches 4 wins. Its not over yet, but the difference now is we are firmly in the drivers seat, and with the easiest match remaining on paper.