The 2015 Popularity Contest (aka UK General Election )

[paulbefc]

My vote'll mean something, as it's in Wirral West which is a marginal. Going home after my last lecture today to vote.

Big chance for Labour there. It's going to be close.

 

[ToffeeDoug]

Final report from me on the Guardian poll projection figures

This morning showing Labour & Conservatives tied at 273 seats each

Lab&SNP 325
Con&L/D 300

Very promising.

SkyBet still calling +/- 16.5 seats as the margin between Tory and Labour (roughly equating to 288 and 272)

 

[bluemangroup]

My vote'll mean something, as it's in Wirral West which is a marginal. Going home after my last lecture today to vote.

Big chance for Labour there. It's going to be close.

Esther's patch isn't it? Happy to see her kicked out.

 

[paulbefc]

Esther's patch isn't it? Happy to see her kicked out.

It is. Could still go either way, but my gut feeling is she'll lose.

 

[bluemangroup]

It is. Could still go either way, but my gut feeling is she'll lose.

It's a weird constituency tbh. There's a lot of the money up that ways and they love a bit of Tory. Vote several times in a variety of disguises just to make sure mate.

 

[bluemangroup]

Didn't realise it was the smallest eligible voting population in the country either.

 

[Clint Planet]

Not been much mention of Big Society this campaign.

 

[Whistlin' Dixie]

Not been much mention of Big Society this campaign.

With the staggering increase in foodbanks & gettin the disabled to work for their benefit in the charity shops of the same charities that are supposed to be helping them, I'd say it was job done, meself.

 

[Connor]

First time vote done.

Doesn't really matter why I live because it'll always be Labour. Hopefully they get seats elsewhere and we see the back of this government.

 

[davek]

Ipsos Mori:

Con 36%
Lab 35%

+5% swing to Lab since their last poll a week ago.

Some big swingback toward Labour in the past 24 hours. The belief all along was that it'd be in the opposite direction.

 

[neil999]

Didn't realise it was the smallest eligible voting population in the country either.

i like this fact, thank you

 

[evilwebby]

Fairly certain that large swathes of the Left won't bother turning up to vote, despite their apparent enthusiasm for anything that isn't Tory.

my pred:
Cons 36%
Lab 32%
LD 12%
UKIP 9%

still a hung parliament and no idea how the eventual govt will be formed.

 

[evilwebby]

Ipsos Mori:

Con 36%
Lab 35%

+5% swing to Lab since their last poll a week ago.

Some big swingback toward Labour in the past 24 hours. The belief all along was that it'd be in the opposite direction.

Are you sure you understand how swings work? 2.5% swing is needed to cause a 5% change in relative totals.

 

[Jags]

Lab 33%
Con 31%
UKIP 15%
Lib Dem 8%
Green 7%
Other 6%

According to BBC poll of polls.

If this happens, expect a minority Labour government.

 

[daylightrobber]

And labour...

Absolute lies. Have posted several times the figures on relative poverty under the last Labour government.