That is the million dollar question.
On one hand the numbers don't lie , there is massive increase in deaths that are caused by covid-19. On the other hand the question I pose to you is this.
What if more people just died this year?
Now when we talk about covid deaths , we aren't talking about a small increase in data. There is a massive jump, for around 5 weeks those numbers were considerably higher than average and that's fine. It's explainable , people did die.
But the thing with the term, it's average. Does that mean that 4 years ago there wasn't a larger amount of deaths than 2 years ago? By averaging them out over 5 years it removes specific numbers and therefore leaves you with a figure that isnt accurate compared to now.
So taking this logic. That 7.5% higher deaths than average now, that by all means is a correct figure. But over those 5 years has it always been 7.5% higher than before? Has there been any years where it has been similar figures?
If 2 out of 4 years non-consecutively 1 million people died and 2 of them 500k died , the average wouldn't be 1 million, but that's a massive difference in numbers.
And that is the theory aspect of your question.