the press really doesnt fancy us, do they...
Wolves to edge six-pointer
EVERTON v
WOLVES is a huge game. Both sides are winless, but history (if you believe in that stuff) suggests this match could have a huge bearing on whoever loses here - if there is a loser.
Of the 25 teams to have collected zero points and possess a goal difference of at least -5 or worse after three games in Premier League history - which would be the situation for either of these sides should they lose this game - 11 suffered relegation, so while it is just three games in, history suggests there is a 44% chance of relegation for the loser at Goodison Park.
I'm taking Everton to be that team, with their lack of goals a huge concern, especially with it appearing that
Dominic Calvert-Lewin will be absent again.
The manner of Everton's defeat to Aston Villa still leaves me with major question marks around the Toffees as a team - with their defence a shambles on that occasion (xG: AVL 3.24 - 0.72 EVE).
Sean Dyche laid into his players after that game stating: "We started well, but it reminded me of last season when we conceded a goal and you smell the group going soft very quickly."
He nailed it.
Wolves have had a tougher schedule than their hosts (@ Man U, vs Brighton), and have shown glimpses in both, looking threatening in attack too.
At half-time
against Brighton, while the scoreline was 2-0 to the visitors, the xG totals read WOL 1.02 - 1.23 BHA, so they hadn't been bad at all.
The score and the xG got away from them in the second half when chasing the game, but there were positives to take, just as there were against Manchester United.
Gary O'Neil's Wolves have been more proactive this season
At home under Dyche, the Toffees have won just four of ten while scoring just seven times. They have created the chances to score more, but poor finishing continues to be an issue.
Wolves will continue play on the front foot under Gary O'Neil, unlike to his predecessors, which means they will aim to win at Goodison Park which could lead to an entertaining game - not many will be expecting that.
Score prediction: Everton 1-2 Wolves (Sky Bet odds: 10/1)