there seems to be a lot of potter interest, understandably so if youre an XG advocate.
but the thing is potter has undershot his XG in his last 3 seasons now, so its pretty safe to say that the XG models miss something in his system:
20/21 understat xpos 5th, actual pos 16th, 20 points short of xpts
19/20 understat xpos 13th, actual pos 15th, 7 points short of xpts
18/19 infogol xpos 5th, actual pos 10th
and he isnt a one off example. it obviously misses something in simeones system too:
athleti last 5 seasons off understat:
xpos 5 actual pos 1 ( 20 pts over xpts )
xpos 3 actual pos 3
xpos 5 actual pos 2 ( 16 pts over xpts )
xpos 3 actual pos 2 ( 17pts over xpts )
xpos 3 actual pos 3 ( 9 pts over xpts )
and theres others too, dyche is another example
so would you say XG models, which are still relatively new, still have some flaws and dont catch everything quite right? or do you believe that some managers are just always lucky, and some are always unlucky?
as ( generally ) a sane. logical person, i find it really difficult to believe the latter.
and if XG didnt exist, would anyone be saying potter?