Relegation 2022/23

liamefc91 · May 23, 2023

Heads fully gone here. Only Tuesday

aglee · May 23, 2023

Swerty said:
If all teams are 40-30-30 odds on last day, for arguments sake,

Chances of us winning: 40%
Chances of us drawing 30% while Leicester don't win 60%= 18%
Chances of us losing 30% while Leicester don't win 60% and Leeds don't win 60%= 11% or so

69% chance. And I'll give leeds a 2% joker to do spurs by 3 in scenario 2

then take back cos for us being better than these lot. 70%

All I know is there is a 0% chance we can get relegated today. We have 5 days of being 100% certain we are a Premier League club. Happy Tuesday Blues!

Runub · May 23, 2023

Swerty said:
If all teams are 40-30-30 odds on last day, for arguments sake,

Chances of us winning: 40%
Chances of us drawing 30% while Leicester don't win 60%= 18%
Chances of us losing 30% while Leicester don't win 60% and Leeds don't win 60%= 11% or so

69% chance. And I'll give leeds a 2% joker to do spurs by 3 in scenario 2

then take back cos for us being better than these lot. 70%

I have a busy day today and now I will have that puzzle running about in my head all day as well. Cheers

teppic · May 23, 2023

Absolutely dreading the live table next Sunday when Leicester slot after 5 minutes.

neil999 · May 23, 2023

All set up for everyone to lose lol

brieverton · May 23, 2023

If we go down it's on a 38 game season. Not because we didn't beat or get a point from Bournemouth on the day.

I'd have a marginal but weak expectation of the three points, just based on a number of factors, but it's a game that could very much go either way.

This is the position most of us would have been very glad to be in even a few weeks ago, yet the situation seems to be on more of a knife-edge than before. Just possibly because it's effectively a cup final now. A final with practically no margin for error.

GraemeS1980 · May 23, 2023

We’ll stay up this season but without drastic changes we will be down by Easter next year. That includes needing a change of ownership and massive incomings and outgoings.

coollino · May 23, 2023

neil999 said:
All set up for everyone to lose lol

Hell yeah

Tramps_mate · May 23, 2023

I've a feeling that Leicester will beat Westham.

We must beat Bournemouth. It's going to be very close on Sunday either way!

Tramps_mate · May 23, 2023

neil999 said:
All set up for everyone to lose lol

I'll take that!

grandjoeblue · May 23, 2023

GraemeS1980 said:
We’ll stay up this season but without drastic changes we will be down by Easter next year. That includes needing a change of ownership and massive incomings and outgoings.

If we can sign a half decent striker who can score 8-10 goals that would make an impact. We need to stop relying on DCL moving forward.

coollino · May 23, 2023

Leeds look up for it in training

Gilbert.. · May 23, 2023

Everyone involved with Everton should relishing this game. Over the whole season what have we done. A result at Brighton and the scrappy 1-0 against Arsenal. Thats it. We should be already relegated. Bournemouth at home on the last day to save ourselves. In our own hands. Is quite fortunate. Now just have to grab it on the day.

joebocop · May 23, 2023

coollino said:
Leeds look up for it in training

They'll be buzzing after their great performance at the weekend. They are flying now. 1 point from 3 is on the upwards trend. The sky is the limit.

jazzy · May 23, 2023

brieverton said:
If we go down it's on a 38 game season. Not because we didn't beat or get a point from Bournemouth on the day.

I'd have a marginal but weak expectation of the three points, just based on a number of factors, but it's a game that could very much go either way.

This is the position most of us would have been very glad to be in even a few weeks ago, yet the situation seems to be on more of a knife-edge than before. Just possibly because it's effectively a cup final now. A final with practically no margin for error.

Surely it's more marginal now simply because we have no striker or full backs?
I'd suggest that it is 50/50