Bluerover
Player Valuation: £50m
Forgot to change the venue for that fixture!! Still gave a Win in both pessimistic and optimistic - no way we would win Away.
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Forgot to change the venue for that fixture!! Still gave a Win in both pessimistic and optimistic - no way we would win Away.
I'm not exactly sure, but i think The Championship has slightly different - maybe stricter rules.
perth_blue
Player Valuation: £15m
That's our hardest fixture out of the way.
Not saying the rest won't be challenging, but no way will it be the same test.
Not saying the rest won't be challenging, but no way will it be the same test.
Nottingham Forest A
Brentford H
Chelsea A
Tottenham H
Man Utd A
Fulham H
Crystal Palace A
Newcastle H
Leicester A
Brighton A
Man City H
Wolves A
Bournemouth H
In bold I've put the games that I'm pretty much writing off. That leaves us with 9 games to get our points. I'd say 1 point max against Spurs given they're likely to score and us getting 2 is next to nil. Other 8 games CAN be won, but anything less than victories in them is bad, bad news for us.
Brentford H
Chelsea A
Tottenham H
Man Utd A
Fulham H
Crystal Palace A
Newcastle H
Leicester A
Brighton A
Man City H
Wolves A
Bournemouth H
In bold I've put the games that I'm pretty much writing off. That leaves us with 9 games to get our points. I'd say 1 point max against Spurs given they're likely to score and us getting 2 is next to nil. Other 8 games CAN be won, but anything less than victories in them is bad, bad news for us.
If each of the bottom 6 clubs were to continue the same form to the end of the season as they have from the start, the bottom 6 at close of season would be as follows.
Wolves 36
West Ham 36
Leeds 35
Bournemouth 33
Everton 32
Southampton 29
COYB!
John.
Stanley Parker
Player Valuation: £15m
As long as we don't concede the first goal, we might scrape a draw.
We were relegated when we let Richarlison go.
It's inevitable now IMHO.
13 games left and we need 17-19 points. That's min 5-6 wins, and with this squad and the quality of opponents we still have to face, I just can't see where the goals and wins are coming from.
And we're fully architects of our own downfall. We came into the season knowing that our squad had gotten weaker (in an attacking sense at least) and that the competition around us was stronger. Even at the start of the season it felt difficult to point out 3 weaker teams.
Then January just exacerbated the situation. We got even weaker, and everyone around us strengthened. We improved our manager situation, but dealt him an awful hand of players.
I just think the odds are now impossibly stacked against us. We're already in the relegation zone, we have played one game more, and in the next 5 games we play:
Forest (A) - who have a very good home record while our away record is terrible
Brentford (H) - who we are yet to beat since they came up and seem to know how to deal with us
And then Utd, Chelsea and Spurs in a row.
I can't see us taking more than, as a maximum, 6 points from those 5 games. That would leave us needing 13 points from 8 games - which will include City and Newcastle.
Right now, if you offered me the chance of being mathematically in with a chance of staying up on the last day, I'd bite your hand off. Realistically I don't think we'll even take it that far.
We've circled the drain for a while. It's our time to drop.
13 games left and we need 17-19 points. That's min 5-6 wins, and with this squad and the quality of opponents we still have to face, I just can't see where the goals and wins are coming from.
And we're fully architects of our own downfall. We came into the season knowing that our squad had gotten weaker (in an attacking sense at least) and that the competition around us was stronger. Even at the start of the season it felt difficult to point out 3 weaker teams.
Then January just exacerbated the situation. We got even weaker, and everyone around us strengthened. We improved our manager situation, but dealt him an awful hand of players.
I just think the odds are now impossibly stacked against us. We're already in the relegation zone, we have played one game more, and in the next 5 games we play:
Forest (A) - who have a very good home record while our away record is terrible
Brentford (H) - who we are yet to beat since they came up and seem to know how to deal with us
And then Utd, Chelsea and Spurs in a row.
I can't see us taking more than, as a maximum, 6 points from those 5 games. That would leave us needing 13 points from 8 games - which will include City and Newcastle.
Right now, if you offered me the chance of being mathematically in with a chance of staying up on the last day, I'd bite your hand off. Realistically I don't think we'll even take it that far.
We've circled the drain for a while. It's our time to drop.
I disagree, lastnight was a fixture that nothing was expected of, so there was no pressure. The hardest fixtures are ones that the team are expected to get results in, that is when the pressure on the players ramps up, they are the toughest fixtures.
COYB!
John.
I have genuinely no idea how I've ended up there, my football knowledge is pitiful. I wouldn't listen to me about anything.
Liam-EFC
Player Valuation: £15m
Same. Last season we had the positive of Richarlison making the difference. This season we have absolutely no one.
We go down, we go bust.
That simple, we are losing money hand over fist, Championship Rules are much tighter.
We will be in severe financial trouble
Toffeeslam
Player Valuation: £35m
Well then we’re bust as there is no way this team are staying up
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