But the 39,000 baseline that we are saying we would increase by 50% to have a 62,000 capacity is a false ceiling. It's only 39,000 because Goodison has been downsized for years due to lack of investment. The "real" Everton attendance would be well into the 40,000s at a maintained Goodison. Football, these days, is a different beast to what it was in the 80s or 90s. Don't underestimate the amount of tourists or day-trip fans we will get at the new place.
I think 53,000 will prove inadequate in years to come. That's not just a hunch - it is the trend for all Premier League clubs over the last few decades. Attendances are rising everywhere. That's why City are expanding, Spurs and Arsenal built new stadia, and others can't wait to build 100,000 Bedouin tents near the Manchester Ship Canal.