Okay, let's try to be concrete. Big Sam, who was the last coach before Silva was hired, achieved a points average of 1.42 per. match. The season before, ie the first season for Koeman, we had an average of 1.60 pr. match. He was sacked the following season with a point average of 0,89.
Silva replicated Big Sam's performance, earning an average of 1.42 per. match. Given our ambition to close the gap to the top 6, this was a bit below average performance. However, as the faithful supporters we are, we realize that it can take time to play football the way Silva wants, and it takes time for new players to adapt.
We are now 13 games out in Silva's second season, and we have an average of 1.07 points per game. We play terrible football, would rather watch paint dry, and have a goal average of 1 per. match. It is also very difficult to see where Silva wants to go with this project. We have also invested heavily under Silva, but this we have generally done lately as drunken sailors.
My thoughts are that the minimum goal is last year's points average and that he has done a good season if we achieve an average of 1.57 per. match. This gives us 60 points, and then we are 1 point behind what Koeman achieved in his first season.
If he manages a point average of 1.8 pr. match it is a very good achievement. Then we end up with 70 points. If he manages the top four he is a magician and is most likely on his way to Barcelona. Unfortunately, a point average of 1.07 indicates that he is on his way to Bury.
So that he manages to repeat last year, and maybe manages to improve last year's performance is not an unreasonable expectation.