Next manager discussion (poll reset 21/05/2016)

[Ashtonian]

And maybe that's the point mate

perhaps i dont know everyhting about the betting market mate. Ok i admit im not clued up on a lot of stuff you put up.

but i think we are talking two different points, the bookies drop the odds if people put money on the outcome, because why would they bet on the outcome if they didn't think there was a chance of happening? More people do it, you want to lower them odds because if 100 people pet at 50/1 you stand to lose more than if you lower it down to 5/1 before that 100 get all their bets on.

 

[D410]

Cracking shout that mate. It would be a perfect fit for the club.

 

[ijjysmith]

Soon

 

[TheFinnFan]

Soon

Give me a fix ij

 

[orly]

perhaps i dont know everyhting about the betting market mate. Ok i admit im not clued up on a lot of stuff you put up.

but i think we are talking two different points, the bookies drop the odds if people put money on the outcome, because why would they bet on the outcome if they didn't think there was a chance of happening? More people do it, you want to lower them odds because if 100 people pet at 50/1 you stand to lose more than if you lower it down to 5/1 before that 100 get all their bets on.

We aren't mate, I'm sorry but we aren't.

It's all very off topic now so I'm going to have dip out of it at this point. Please though, take an hour to read up about this stuff before going forward with it.

Let me give you on final example. I once saw a bloke go into a bookies and say 'I want a price, not just on Sam Allardyce to be the next Newcastle manager. but also the day and timing of his press conference'. He was utterly amazed that the major high street firm wouldn't lay him a price - surely it would be decent if he could be that specific? If you could do exact lengths and race time for a horse to win, surely those odds would be much better than a straight win??

Totally and utterly different markets. In a market like this, I would be amazed if any bookmaker would lay 100 bets at 50/1. Just would not happen. The price wouldn't 'go down' - the market would be suspended and artificially adjusted.

 

[Ashtonian]

We aren't mate, I'm sorry but we aren't.

It's all very off topic now so I'm going to have dip out of it at this point. Please though, take an hour to read up about this stuff before going forward with it.

Let me give you on final example. I once saw a bloke go into a bookies and say 'I want a price, not just on Sam Allardyce to be the next Newcastle manager. but also the day and timing of his press conference'. He was utterly amazed that the major high street firm wouldn't lay him a price - surely it would be decent if he could be that specific? If you could do exact lengths and race time for a horse to win, surely those odds would be much better than a straight win??

Totally and utterly different markets. In a market like this, I would be amazed if any bookmaker would lay 100 bets at 50/1. Just would not happen. The price wouldn't 'go down' - the market would be suspended and artificially adjusted.

Fine. I concede I may be talking out my arse then

 

[ToffeeDan]

F5 F5 F5

Nothing to do with jibbing our Centre half either.

 

[TheFinnFan]

Thank god I put 10,000£ on Manuel

 

[orly]

Fine. I concede I may be talking out my arse then

Mate the general premise of what you're saying might be alright, but there's big holes in it.

Simple rule, the odds are not chance of it happening until the odds stop making you money.

Just saying the odds being the lowest doesn't mean the chances are good, as they are just the most fancied bets

and the bit about Vardy.

Next manager betting is an absolute mugs game

 

[SouthernEvertonian]

https://t.co/sDwZGnWmam

This article offers a few of the men already talked about here but what about this Jardim guy from Monaco that's touted? Don't know too much about him myself but I am sure there are people here who can inform me lol

Just think that this is a crucial appointment that we desperately need to get right, if we don't it could set us back another 10 years.

 

[sageyefc]

Prefer cocu over deboer if we get someone from that mickey mouse league

 

[Dom1878]

Talking to my kopite collegue today - "you could do much worse than Benitez" - couldn't really complain, only negative is his association with Liverpool - but hey.

 

[ijjysmith]

Prefer cocu over deboer if we get someone from that mickey mouse league

De Boer looks meaner to me. Which is important to me.

Cocu has the weirdest nose going.

 

[Dario Terracotta]

"Goose" Hiddink?

 

[Billy Dean]

And no better than Moyes with us.

He's a far more talented coach than Moyes IMO