I give the Chiefs 60/40 odds on this one. The 49ers have enough individual players to make this game winnable if a few of them play at their absolute peak. But the Chiefs are entering this game playing downhill. The 49ers are going to have to fight up uphill.
Did I read it correctly when I said that if the Chiefs win this game, they will have beaten the toughest DVOA opponents en route to a Super Bowl in NFL history? Because we are now entering Prime Mahomes territory for the next 6 years. It's pretty clear at this point that weather cannot stop him, spread passing offenses cannot stop him, run-heavy physical teams cannot stop him, teams with elite QBs in their own right cannot stop him, the best passrushes in the NFL cannot stop him, playing with the worst WR corps in the NFL cannot stop him, hostile home crowds cannot stop him, ball hawking physical defenses cannot stop him, blitzing defenses cannot stop him, static zone defenses cannot stop him, teams that blanket Kelce cannot stop him, teams that do everything right cannot stop him.
The 49ers present a ton of challenges, from a versatile offense to elite players across their defense. But none of that is going to stop him.