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Project restart discussion.

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As a footballer I would much rather stay with my family. Tests are only about 70% accurate. There have been many examples of false negatives.


No test is perfect – swabbing technique and analysis errors can lead to inaccurate results. There is no defined false negative level at which covid-19 tests become worthless. Obviously at the national level false negative tests matter less but they do very much matter to every individual who gets one and therefore could suffer dreadful consequences.

The importance here then is extremely regular testing (3 times per week) which should, as far as it is practicably possible, minimise any errors from a particular test.
 

Them and Liverpool will really be feeling this, much more then anyone else. Those are the clubs who have huge match day revenues and big sponsorship deals.

I’m very confident Liverpool are the club losing £9 million per week.

We’ll lose about £20 million max. They’ll both be deep into 3 figures.

If the RS are losing £9 million a week then untied will be losing more and city the same , every club has pretty much lost all its Income bar online sales of merch , the higher the turnover the more the losses , would expect every club will be making a huge loss inc us and don’t forget we were already starting the situation hugely in the red anyhow this will only compound it so would expect a more significant one than announced earlier in the year ,

It shows how all the clubs need the cash and there was little opposition from any club to restart bar the relegation threatened ones this will have a serious impact on football for a while .
 
Yes but same players will have probably had three tests at least until they get to that stage , negative tested players can’t catch it off other negatively tested players , football would not start until a vaccine there would be no other way by your reasoning is that what you propose
I would imagine It’s minimizing the risk even further , there will always be an element of risk in any job
It's make your mind up time.

If negative tested players CAN'T catch it off other negatively tested players then what is the element of risk?
 
If the RS are losing £9 million a week then untied will be losing more and city the same , every club has pretty much lost all its Income bar online sales of merch , the higher the turnover the more the losses , would expect every club will be making a huge loss inc us and don’t forget we were already starting the situation hugely in the red anyhow this will only compound it so would expect a more significant one than announced earlier in the year ,

It shows how all the clubs need the cash and there was little opposition from any club to restart bar the relegation threatened ones this will have a serious impact on football for a while .

You’re showing a massive naivety to understanding the difference between our clubs finances and Liverpool / United‘ here With this post. They will be losing considerably more than us probably 7 or 8 times more.

£20 mill max we’ll lose which has already been covered by the deal to get first choice naming rights on our ground.

Clubs like Liverpool and United who are on TV considerably more, budget for European football, rely on match attending customers to purchase merchandise, have massive match day revenues and have sponsorship deals related to success and exposure are going to be hit really bad playing BCD. Hence the reports Liverpool are losing £9 million per week and United’s figures showing what many predicted.

TV are getting £15 million minimum back per club. You don’t think club sponsors aren’t going to be asking for money back based on their product not getting the exposure they paid for cause that’s all modern day football sponsorship is, paying for exposure.

Clubs which rich benefactors are really going to revel in this as they won’t be feeling it no where near as bad as others. It’s actually a big opportunity for them.

Do you really believe City’s sponsors are going to ask for 1 penny back?? We’ve been getting told for years how dodgy those deals have been but now they’re going to be making cuts on them, nah. They’ll be loving the impact this is having on there rivals in football terms.

Also, we’ll find out if there’s any opposition to a restart when they come to vote. They haven’t had that opportunity to do that just yet. We were told there was no opposition to neutral grounds until they were asked to vote and that wasn’t passed. I think there’s a lot more opposition to playing than you think and it’ll be reflected in the vote.
 

It's make your mind up time.

If negative tested players CAN'T catch it off other negatively tested players then what is the element of risk?
Going to work and crashing your car , picking a serious injury up not all covid related but any job has an element of risk in it , i wasn’t stating just covid nothing is risk free
 
You’re showing a massive naivety to understanding the difference between our clubs finances and Liverpool / United‘ here With this post. They will be losing considerably more than us probably 7 or 8 times more.

£20 mill max we’ll lose which has already been covered by the deal to get first choice naming rights on our ground.

Clubs like Liverpool and United who are on TV considerably more, budget for European football, rely on match attending customers to purchase merchandise, have massive match day revenues and have sponsorship deals related to success and exposure are going to be hit really bad playing BCD. Hence the reports Liverpool are losing £9 million per week and United’s figures showing what many predicted.

TV are getting £15 million minimum back per club. You don’t think club sponsors aren’t going to be asking for money back based on their product not getting the exposure they paid for cause that’s all modern day football sponsorship is, paying for exposure.

Clubs which rich benefactors are really going to revel in this as they won’t be feeling it no where near as bad as others. It’s actually a big opportunity for them.

Do you really believe City’s sponsors are going to ask for 1 penny back?? We’ve been getting told for years how dodgy those deals have been but now they’re going to be making cuts on them, nah. They’ll be loving the impact this is having on there rivals in football terms.

Also, we’ll find out if there’s any opposition to a restart when they come to vote. They haven’t had that opportunity to do that just yet. We were told there was no opposition to neutral grounds until they were asked to vote and that wasn’t passed. I think there’s a lot more opposition to playing than you think and it’ll be reflected in the vote.


No naivety here , yes they will make big losses but that’s on the back of big profits . United today posted losses of £3 million because some of the previous profit was offset , city may be allowed to keep there sponsorship cash I don’t doubt that will happen the big teams will lose match day revenue and some broadcasting and sponsorship but don’t forget we are already a loss making club at the moment that won’t magically disappear and then it will be confounded by the additional losses in revenue , yes we have a rich benefactor but there may come a time when the losses and constant provision off additional capital suddenly stops because at the end of the day there not really benefactors they are hard nosed businessmen who know when to cut there losses . We’ve seen with Sunderland and Villa that the tap can suddenly be turned off with dire consequences.

I disagree with your view on it starting but your entitled to it and only the fullness of time will say who was correct but I’m happy with my position that all the clubs realise financially they need to come back ASAP from a financial perspective as for City I doubt they will lose sponsorship but they will lose matchday revenue and possibly CL revenue for two years , I doubt there revelling in it .
 

You’re showing a massive naivety to understanding the difference between our clubs finances and Liverpool / United‘ here With this post. They will be losing considerably more than us probably 7 or 8 times more.

£20 mill max we’ll lose which has already been covered by the deal to get first choice naming rights on our ground.

Clubs like Liverpool and United who are on TV considerably more, budget for European football, rely on match attending customers to purchase merchandise, have massive match day revenues and have sponsorship deals related to success and exposure are going to be hit really bad playing BCD. Hence the reports Liverpool are losing £9 million per week and United’s figures showing what many predicted.

TV are getting £15 million minimum back per club. You don’t think club sponsors aren’t going to be asking for money back based on their product not getting the exposure they paid for cause that’s all modern day football sponsorship is, paying for exposure.

Clubs which rich benefactors are really going to revel in this as they won’t be feeling it no where near as bad as others. It’s actually a big opportunity for them.

Do you really believe City’s sponsors are going to ask for 1 penny back?? We’ve been getting told for years how dodgy those deals have been but now they’re going to be making cuts on them, nah. They’ll be loving the impact this is having on there rivals in football terms.

Also, we’ll find out if there’s any opposition to a restart when they come to vote. They haven’t had that opportunity to do that just yet. We were told there was no opposition to neutral grounds until they were asked to vote and that wasn’t passed. I think there’s a lot more opposition to playing than you think and it’ll be reflected in the vote.

You can essentially split the PL into 3 groups. The top 6, the bottom 14 and clubs who have substantial backing (who are prepared to bail them out of this situation).

The bottom 14 essentially require the TV money. The top 6 require full stadiums and an end to the recession so people start buying things again. To put it crudely, football will return, in some form before the latter too. Structurally that will aid the bottom 14 more.

What I find astounding with the 9 million figure, I can only assume it's from income lost, it would mean almost all of the sponsors are basically not paying. You look at Uniteds numbers, 28 million loss for 2.5 weeks, how will they got in the following 2.5 months? I'll make another fairly logical projection, if a sponsor has stopped paying, they have already in essence established the contracts been breached and won the argument that they are not going to pay you. Even if football restarts, if it's behind closed doors, out of the regular season etc expect sponsors to look to extract fairly hefty payments down. I can't think of a scenario where you go from paying 0, to paying 100% on resumption.

Retail in America was down 80% last month. It's hideous out there. Everyone CEO of every company at this moment in time is actively talking to their senior managers to state-where can we save money (as a result). Some of this will be employees. Lots will be outsourcing. If your Nike, a huge amount is going to be these sponsorship agreements they have. Their Director of Procurement will be getting a dictat, which is essentially reduce them or get out of the agreement.

You are correct to point out City. They will continue to pay. Usmanov will continue to pay. Outside of that it's open season.

You have Maddocks and Pearce now writing articles that Liverpool won't sign Werner. I actually like David Maddocks, but he's very supportive of Liverpool, and Pearce couldn't be more pro-Liverpool. That they are writing articles, saying revenues down, players can't be bought etc is the canary in the mine. 12 months ago he would have been leading the push of the 100m Nike deal and the likelihood of signing Mbappe for 250m if they wanted too. You don't have to listen to me, just listen to them.

It won't affect Everton that much, we are in a far worse starting position true but we lose 14m revenue for gate receipts. United and LIverpool will be 3 figures for the 3 month lay off, 3 figures for match day revenue, 3 figures losses for commercial/sponsorship collapsing and potentially close to 3 figures for European revenue if seasons are voided. All while they have massive contractual obligations to meet for wages (with lots tied down to long term deals). It's interesting I saw a link about VVD going to Madrid for 90m. Don't rule anything out as things stand, especially if they get laughed away for Mane again.

Thats a final consideration too. It's not just they are in trouble, but it is are their owners (United, Arsenal, LIverpool's) going to be able to keep a clear head when this enormous pressure comes on. It looks like United have whacked a load onto their debt (about 130 million). In my experience, organisations that are put under intensive pressures will often crumble. Lots of Liverpool fans are talking of a new H & G for United (which it will be) but have no appreciation they are heading the same way.

I mean both have certain get outs. United have cash reserves of about £250m (though most of that is just a credit facility so not their money). LIverpool theoretically have a very strong (if ageing) squad that would keep them towards the top end for another couple of years if recruitment halted and they could just put the losses onto debt to be paid back over a long period. However both of them, and Arsenal are under a pressure they won't have experienced in a long time. Good luck with dealing with that, while your core businesses in America come under scrutiny over the next 6 months with a depraved lunatic taking ever increasing risks to try to retain his presidency shreds the US economy.
 
No naivety here , yes they will make big losses but that’s on the back of big profits . United today posted losses of £3 million because some of the previous profit was offset , city may be allowed to keep there sponsorship cash I don’t doubt that will happen the big teams will lose match day revenue and some broadcasting and sponsorship but don’t forget we are already a loss making club at the moment that won’t magically disappear and then it will be confounded by the additional losses in revenue , yes we have a rich benefactor but there may come a time when the losses and constant provision off additional capital suddenly stops because at the end of the day there not really benefactors they are hard nosed businessmen who know when to cut there losses . We’ve seen with Sunderland and Villa that the tap can suddenly be turned off with dire consequences.

I disagree with your view on it starting but your entitled to it and only the fullness of time will say who was correct but I’m happy with my position that all the clubs realise financially they need to come back ASAP from a financial perspective as for City I doubt they will lose sponsorship but they will lose matchday revenue and possibly CL revenue for two years , I doubt there revelling in it .

United had to add £130m to their debt today though, and this only takes us to the end of March, about 2.5 weeks into the crisis. We are looking at (at least) 2.5 months of no income coming and then a prolonged period of no gate receipts, and massively reduced commercial revenues.

I think your point about the rich benefactor is a good one. We have seen what happens with Sunderland and Villa. The irony is, they are both warning signs for United, Liverpool, Arsenal etc as the thing they all have in common is they are American, and ultimately owning a football club as an investment opportunity. As soon as things got precarious, they stopped and the teams plummeted. Now in fairness to the 3 teams I've mentioned, they all have much better squads, brands and businesses than Sunderland and Villa (although VIlla were in a good place) but the tap will be turned off in terms of spending for those 3 teams now. I suspect all 3 owners will be looking to siphon money away to help them with enormous problems in the US.

There is a very common trend that American owners follow. You've also seen it with H & G. Once things got tricky, they stopped the spending. We are fortunate we have a wholly different type of owner in ethos and nationality.
 
So everyone has been tested to death yet they have to keep 2m apart when on the bench and we also see them wearing masks. It doesn't add up.
I would imagine It’s minimizing the risk even further , there will always be an element of risk in any job
If negative tested players CAN'T catch it off other negatively tested players then what is the element of risk?
Going to work and crashing your car , picking a serious injury up not all covid related but any job has an element of risk in it , i wasn’t stating just covid nothing is risk free
Wearing a mask is not going to stop you having a car crash.

BTW, your replies are getting somewhat tangential.
 

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