If we avoid defeat against Luton then we shouldn't finish below them32/33 will be enough. Luton have 25 with city away next . If they get 7/8 more from 5 games they will be doing very well.
The are 4 key games for us, and 3 are at home, but Forest and Luton are the biggest.
A win against either of those 2 teams means they need a 5 point swing (or 6 with GD) against us in their other 5 matches, and we have 6 other matches.