I pretty much agree with that, but, with ten games to go, we're five points off fourth spot. Assuming the teams above us win their games in hand, we'd probably be about eight points off fourth.
That's certainly progress from the last couple of seasons, and even in "Season 72 points" we finished seven points off fourth. We'll probably finish the season about 10 points off fourth, which, given our poor Autumn form, suggests we could get a fair bit closer next season, which is hopefully when Koeman will really start to earn his cash.
For years we've always been "just a few players off" being able to compete. This time round, because of the TV money and being effectively debt free, we have a much better chance of actually making the step up.
*goes for a lie down