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Match Thread Spurs v Everton Sat 17:30

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Zezti said:
"boo stats booo" and all that, but it is actually pretty accurate estimation of a team's goalscoring ability.
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Honestly I have no idea what it is nor can I work it out but 1 shot on target in 32 games suggest a very small chance of scoring a goal.
 

Jreverton1 said:
I literally have no idea what this expected goals crap is. I guess it's some stats fella trying to justify his job.
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It's a good indicator I think. If we were failing to score but regularly getting xg of 1.2-1.5 or so then you could put it down to a mixture of luck and failing to take good chances. The fact ours is regularly around 0.3 shows this ain't bad luck, this us because we create nothing whatsoever.
 
ToffeeTim said:
It's a good indicator I think. If we were failing to score but regularly getting xg of 1.2-1.5 or so then you could put it down to a mixture of luck and failing to take good chances. The fact ours is regularly around 0.3 shows this ain't bad luck, this us because we create nothing whatsoever.
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But I don't need 'expected goals' to tell me this, 'shots on target' will do that just fine.
 
royalbalou said:
Go support Spurs then...I am/nor never will be envious of another team...we should aspire to beat them...not be jealous of them

Our current team just aren't very good...but they are still Everton and I'll take a not very good Everton over a decent Spurs team any day
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Cheers for giving me a bit of direction. I'd be lost without someone like you.

I'll heed your advice and never admire any non-Everton players again. From now on I'll be a proper blue just like you. I promise.
 
Jreverton1 said:
But I don't need 'expected goals' to tell me this, 'shots on target' will do that just fine.
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Not always. But yes I agree.

In this case XG just backs up the obvious that we are not threatening one little bit.

But what XG is really important for is seeing who outperforms it. The best teams score 2 goals from 0.7 XG. The best keepers keep a clean sheet off 2.5 xg. Ideally you want a high XG but also to outperform. We have a diabolical one and are still under performing both offensively and scarily, at the back. Spurs XG was 3.6, we conceded 4....

I do love statistics a bit much to be fair. But if the club gave me a job to produce scouting models and the right to appoint a couple of mates to assist me, then I swear we'd win the lot lol
 
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ToffeeTim said:
Not always. But yes I agree.

In this case XG just backs up the obvious that we are not threatening one little bit.

But what XG is really important for is seeing who outperforms it. The best teams score 2 goals from 0.7 XG. The best keepers keep a clean sheet off 2.5 xg. Ideally you want a high XG but also to outperform. We have a diabolical one and are still under performing both offensively and scarily, at the back. Spurs XG was 3.6, we conceded 4....
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Not sure what any of this means but I guess it can't be good...
 

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