The 2015 Popularity Contest (aka UK General Election )

[edge]

He'd expand the borders...........

Id vote for him , before Boris who might be leader the election after this, the one about november

 

[daylightrobber]

I can't remember if there was a vote of confidence in 1974. Theesk might know. But Labour won the the subsequent election just about.

Early election called me thinks. Very different to circumstances now, not least because we have fixed term parliament.

 

[Seanjd]

Id vote for him , before Boris who might be leader the election after this, the one about november

Fact of the day which you may or may not have known:

Boris Johnson is David Cameron's 8th cousin.
George Osborne is David Cameron's 22nd cousin 3 times removed.

 

[Clint Planet]

He'd close the borders

He opened quite a few, to be fair.

 

[davek]

YouGov

Labour have a one-point lead:

CON 34%,
LAB 35%,
LD 8%,
UKIP 12%,
GRN 5%

Added to the Panelbase 2% lead for Lab today and that places both parties pretty much on level pegging...which is bad news for Call me Dave....but Miliband 'stumbled' and they won the passing game tonight on Question Time, so that's nice for them.

 

[Seanjd]

But all it would mean is there would be another election which Labour might win, so they could say they weren't letting the tories back in at all.

SNP would always back Labour in a confidence vote purely in fear of the Tories getting back in. If they didn't, and the Tories got back in, Scotland would never forgive them.

 

[The Equaliser]

SNP would always back Labour in a confidence vote purely in fear of the Tories getting back in. If they didn't, and the Tories got back in, Scotland would never forgive them.

I'm not sure they would Sean if the fall out was big enough. Things can change quickly. Anyway it's all speculation at this point.

 

[edge]

If Nick Clegg loses his seat that dramatically changes the political landscape.,

If indeed he is given the boot in Hallam don't be surprised to see the remaining Lib Dem MPs lean left and distance themselves from the toxic tories.

This seat could hold the key to the whole thing, if he goes they may go labourers way, if he stays he will deffo go tory,

 

[The Cowboy]

Sounds to me that unless there is a massive shift providing the Tories with a majority (highly unlikely), were looking at some form of Labour government.

All becoming a bit of an anti-climax really, thanks to those pesky Scots.

 

[Seanjd]

I'd be interested to know if we have any Lib Dem supporters here, and what it is about Lib Dem that that they would support. Surely a pre 2010 Lib Dem supporter cannot still agree with their party or it's leader?

 

[daylightrobber]

This seat could hold the key to the whole thing, if he goes they may go labourers way, if he stays he will deffo go tory,

He just do the decent thing and defect.

 

[Joey66]

I thought Dave got it to easy tonight never answered the question of the 12 billion welfare cuts, loaded questions to help him imo - where as EB Nd NC got more hostile questions!

 

[peteblue]

YouGov

Labour have a one-point lead:

CON 34%,
LAB 35%,
LD 8%,
UKIP 12%,
GRN 5%

Added to the Panelbase 2% lead for Lab today and that places both parties pretty much on level pegging...which is bad news for Call me Dave....but Miliband 'stumbled' and they won the passing game tonight on Question Time, so that's nice for them.

Various betting odds.......

Conservatives 1/4 2/9 2/9 1/4 1/4 1/4 1/4 1/5 1/4 1/4 1/4 1/4 1/4 1/5 1/4 2/7 1/4 1/4
Labour 3 3 3 3 11/4 3 3 3 5/2 3 11/4 11/4 11/4 14/5 3 5/2 11/4 5/2 5/2
Green Party 1000 1000 1000 1000 500 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
UKIP 250 250 1000 300 1000 500 100 1000 250 100 250 200 250 100 200 500 250 250 500 250
Liberal Democrats 2000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 500 1000 1000 500 1000 1000 1000 500 500 1000 1000

 

[peteblue]

Surely a pre 2010 Lib Dem supporter cannot still agree with their party or it's leader?

Why's that then......

 

[The Esk]

I can't remember if there was a vote of confidence in 1974. @the esk might know. But Labour won the the subsequent election just about.

No, Wilson as Prime Minister called a second election for October 10th 1974 when he had a significant lead in the polls (the February election had left Wilson 17 seats short of an overall majority). He ended up with a majority of 3 after the October election.