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Transfer Rumour Wilfried Gnonto

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£25mil agreed per Bobble i think...but Leeds want £15mil of that upfront so negotiations continue.



City: Haaland/Alvarez
Arsenal: Havertz/Jesus
Chelsea: Jackson/Lukaku + 4kids
RS: Nunez
United: Hojlund/Zirkzee
Spurs: Richarlison
Newcastle: Isak
Villa: Watkins/Archer/Duran
Brentford: Thiago/Toney
Wolves: Cunha
Bournemouth: Solanke
Brighton: Pedro/Ferguson
Forest: Awonyi
Fulham: Muniz


If we signed Gnonto (as i dont want to veer off topic) I suspect there may be only 5 clubs who have a worse starting centre forward than us in terms of quality and/or goal output. Not as many assists for Gnonto as many other teams could benefit from.

Of course its arguable but if our team has the 4th best (team effort) defence then if in simplistic terms, we had a top centre forward to put the ball in the net...we'd be top half based purely on goals conceded/scored.

Joao Pedro was someone I wanted us to sign from Watford and Ferguson is definitely a player that may be attainable now (under £50mil) but who may become a top player valued at a huge amount.

Looking at Beto, DCL & Chermiti i dont see anyone who is certain to score 12-15 goals this coming season.
Chermitti is a player for the future, but I think he'll find his feet quicker than expected, If Beto Has studied the Offside rule and ditched his 'Bambi on Ice' game, then you never know.
As for Dom - Don't go there !!
 
£25mil agreed per Bobble i think...but Leeds want £15mil of that upfront so negotiations continue.



City: Haaland/Alvarez
Arsenal: Havertz/Jesus
Chelsea: Jackson/Lukaku + 4kids
RS: Nunez
United: Hojlund/Zirkzee
Spurs: Richarlison
Newcastle: Isak
Villa: Watkins/Archer/Duran
Brentford: Thiago/Toney
Wolves: Cunha
Bournemouth: Solanke
Brighton: Pedro/Ferguson
Forest: Awonyi
Fulham: Muniz


If we signed Gnonto (as i dont want to veer off topic) I suspect there may be only 5 clubs who have a worse starting centre forward than us in terms of quality and/or goal output. Not as many assists for Gnonto as many other teams could benefit from.

Of course its arguable but if our team has the 4th best (team effort) defence then if in simplistic terms, we had a top centre forward to put the ball in the net...we'd be top half based purely on goals conceded/scored.

Joao Pedro was someone I wanted us to sign from Watford and Ferguson is definitely a player that may be attainable now (under £50mil) but who may become a top player valued at a huge amount.

Looking at Beto, DCL & Chermiti i dont see anyone who is certain to score 12-15 goals this coming season.
Only 2 Everton players have scored MORE than 15 League goals in a season in the last 30 years.

Calvert Lewin and Lukaku.
 

Ok zat, in terms of our at the time record signings for the clubs history - which I can assume you realise translates to a massive fee for that period in time.

Amokachi, Ferguson, Beattie, Johnson, Yakubu, Lukaku all broke our transfer record.

Of those one was an unbridled success, one became a cult hero, one was okayish, three flopped dramatically.

I'll put these down in numbers if appearances and goals.

Amokachi 43 games 10 goals.
Ferguson 238 games 60 goals
Beattie 76 games 13 goals
Johnson 61 games 17 goals
Yakubu 82 games 25 goals
Lukaku 141 games 68 goals.

Only one of them had a strike rate above 1 in 3 which is an average overall a full season of 13 goals.

Over the course of a full season 38 games there expected strike rate would be as follows (rounding up)

Amokachi 9 goals
Ferguson 10 goals
Beattie 7 goals
Johnson 10 goals
Yakubu 12 goals
Lukaku 18 goals

For comparisons sake lets take DCL
215 games 54 goals for a season average of 10 per season +the sane as Ferguson interestingly)

Or for amusements sake lets look at Niasse
Games 35 goals 8 a season average of 9.

So yes I'd argue for our record ever club signings a return if at best 12 goals per season from Yakubu was a flop as he was an out and out finisher who provided little else to the team, the others are all 10 or less per season, only Lukaku was worth what we paid .


A a further illustrator Trevor Steven averaged 9 per 38 games, Kanchelskis 14, Speed 10, Richarlison 12.

Cottee btw came in at 15.

As for your payments logic, you are assuming that the club did not factor in selling and a takeover when negotiating something like the Beto deal, and that with those factors changing we are now faced with an oh [Poor language removed] we have to pay 12m this season moment hence selling him to cover that payment not to suddenly give us more cash - which is btw almost certainly the case why we are wanting to yo offload him - not selling Beto restricts us as it pretty much drains available funds this season in other areas - if we sell him it's so that we don't have to use the budget assigned to buy a cb, cm or rb etc to pay for Beto.

It's not free money to throw to a new central forward mate, i dint think you grasp just how restricted our finances ate, i truly don't.

In a squad with very very obvious needs still and very little depth and in some cases no depth at all you want to sell both our forwards and throw it all on one player, absolute f'ing madness

Oh dear I totally disagree

1: You've taken a stance beyond reality about Beto & a magical £12mil payment that has (not) appeared out of the blue. Also claiming mismanagement regarding his signing :)

You're painting that as a likely picture when it is massively unlikely, not even worth considering, it would be so bizarre.

2: To compare goals scored decades apart, some in poor sides and some in excellent teams :)

3: Ferguson, Johnson, Yakubu and Lukaku walk into this team.

Ferguson was in a poor team for many years, overused and led to him picking up numerous injuries. The only light in the team and a talisman of hope in dark times.

Johnson was monitored by the refs after Wenger called him out for diving--at the time there was a youtube showing clear penalties not given. Again, not in a top side.

Yakubu was top class but for a bad injury. His first season he was a goal machine. Not trusted to start regular games after his injury (sub games affect your disproportionate stats) but went out and scored double figures elsewhere in England, should never have been sold.

Lukaku top class.


I dont know your age of course but I dont think you saw Yakubu, Ferguson or Johnson for us. All top players, far better than our Centre forwards today. Not even a comparison.

:)


4: Amokachi cost £3mil and was signed by Mike Walker the worst Everton manager of all time. You're right that was a big fee back then but it was Mike Walker who signed him. Hardly a relative example so i didnt mention him.

Beattie £6mil at a time when others were going for multiples of that -- 4.5x was spent on Rooney for example. Certainly not a huge fee in the market at the time and was not considered to be a top signing by the fans. Certainly little excitement for this signing :)


5: The forwards I listed from other teams, I wasnt trying to say they would all score 15 goals, maybe ive misworded by post.

What i was saying is that we have arguably the 5th worst starting centre forward in the league in terms of goal output -- take any of the starters from the 14 teams listed and theyre (i believe) far more likely to score more than DCL.

The team defensive numbers may be 4th best but the attacking output is dreadful. Even having the 8th best centre forward would propel us up the league.

We wont get anywhere with the likes of Maupay, Beto & DCL. There is no point in keeping them, none.

I actually think many posters are insane for disagreeing that we should sell them and sign a top starter....yet wanted Godfrey, Keane and Holgate gone :)

Why would Keane, Godfrey & Holgate sales be welcome but not DCL, Maupay and Beto?

Its madness.


I can't see a world where anyone pays us what we would need for Beto either. Especially as he effectively flopped last season. Maybe someone offers a loan. But that wouldn't really help us at all in having new funds.

I can see the argument for selling DCL, as it's pure profit against him leaving for free. I hope he signs a new deal and stays, but I can sort of see how someone might panic buy him for 25m. But I don't see it with Beto.

I get the theory of having fewer, better players. But presently Im doubtful Ferguson from Brighton wants to come here, or many other 50m options do. And as we have seen with Beto, it's a hard league to come and adjust too.

The optimist in me thinks the season will do Beto some good, he gets a full pre season now, and players better suited to his game. It's not going to allow him to control a ball, but maybe he can finish some chances a bit better and be more physical.

There is also a chance you get a bit of a none linear break out from Chermiti.

If we had a £50mil budget then we can have more choices than if we had a low budget. Thats what im saying.

Ferguson, David, Beier for example may be hard to entice but having a decent budget gives us more hope than having zero budget (Beto) a low budget (Maupay) or developing a £1.5mil youth signing (DCL).

I think it would be tremendously challenging to sign a worse player than DCL, Beto and Maupay combined with that budget -- we dont need to spend all of it either.

My brother thinks there is genuine interest from Bologna and another Italian team mate and not for a loan either. He's also pretty convinced that the club is actively exploring these options.

Hopefully this is true & Brentford move on Maupay after the Thiago injury.

They just sold Zirkzee for big money so you never know I suppose.

Calafiore also off to Arsenal

In the list of players at other teams, there's only about three I'd bet money in scoring 15 mate.

You are not living in the real world

I didnt mean that. I meant those 14/15 premier league teams teams ALL have at least one superior and more effective starter compared with our players.

We have one of the worst forward groups in the division.

Agreed, he'd have a team of 18yo champ manager wonder kids playing

Why the youth aged jokes? I was one of the first if not the first to want a 29 year old Tarkowski.

Thelwell has the right idea, when he has money aim for younger players...when he doesnt (Beto) he tries to spend as little as possible on older players.

Seems like im ahead of the curve by many years. Thats not be talking nonsense, ive had that view for many years when weve seen other clubs follow the same path while we have struggled for not adopting the strategy.

Luckily Thelwell seems to be following a strategy which involves younger signings.

Chermitti is a player for the future, but I think he'll find his feet quicker than expected, If Beto Has studied the Offside rule and ditched his 'Bambi on Ice' game, then you never know.
As for Dom - Don't go there !!

Beto rubbish, DCL ineffective in terms of goals.

Id be disappointed if Chermiti wasnt better than both by the end of next season. Its a very low bar.

Only 2 Everton players have scored MORE than 15 League goals in a season in the last 30 years.

Calvert Lewin and Lukaku.

Yakubu.

Johnson 11 Ferguson 11 Saha got 13, Rideout 14

Look at how many chances those players got and the circumstances of the teams they were in compared with today.

Surely you wouldnt have DCL over any of them?

Lukaku
Yakubu
Saha
Ferguson
Johnson
Rideout
DCL
 
Last edited:
Yakubu.

Johnson 11 Ferguson 11 Saha got 13, Rideout 14

Look at how many chances those players got and the circumstances of the teams they were in compared with today.

Surely you wouldnt have DCL over any of them?

Lukaku
Yakubu
Saha
Ferguson
Johnson
Rideout
DCL
Well in his 2nd best Season DCL beats them all, bar Rideout.

People think its dead easy to pick up these goalscorers, yet we have only managed it twice in 30 years, pause for thought when people are saying how easy it is to replace DCL.

But hey, maybe next time we pick up a Lukaku and not a Beto, Tosun, Maupay, Sando and so on.

But im not gonna belittle those names, I liked most of them a lot when they played for us, bar Saha, never really took to Saha.
 
Well in his 2nd best Season DCL beats them all, bar Rideout.

People think its dead easy to pick up these goalscorers, yet we have only managed it twice in 30 years, pause for thought when people are saying how easy it is to replace DCL.

But hey, maybe next time we pick up a Lukaku and not a Beto, Tosun, Maupay, Sando and so on.

But im not gonna belittle those names, I liked most of them a lot when they played for us, bar Saha, never really took to Saha.

I didnt really like Saha either.

Its a misnomer also to compare those players in the teams we had back then.

My original point was that the likes of Yakubu, Lukaku, Johnson and Ferguson would be more likely to hit 15 goals in the team we had last season -- also this season -- compared to DCL.

Those were all signings made for big money at the time and us fans were all pretty excited about them joining.

When was the last time you / we were excited about signing a centre forward?

I was excited by DCL signing -- as a long term development player.

But Lukaku was the only one since Yakubu really.

Going into this season, none of us im sure are excited about DCL, Beto or Maupay.

Its more likely for them to reach a combined 10 goals than 15+

I am struck by the bewilderment of my posts saying we need to sell all and reinvest in one.

While the same posters wanted Godfrey, Keane and Holgate moved on and replaced.

Its common sense.
 
I was bored enough

Lukaku = 17 goals per season average
Johnson = 8.5
Saha = 6.75
DCL = 6.75
Yakubu = 6.25
Rideout = 5.8
Ferguson = 5.45

Compare the teams they played in.

Look at the injuries.

Blame Wenger for Johnson.

Yakubu wasnt given a chance post injury. We sold him for pennies and (i think) he scored double figures in the division below and the premier league after leaving.
 

Zat, if we sell Beto (which we will try to do) then what we sell him for will simply cancel out what we have to pay for him this and next season, its not going to be a free 25m but simply the return of money we spent last season which we didn't actually have. Maupay is in the last year of his contract at the very best we may get a minimal fee for him of say 3m or so - Brentford know that they can put a loan offer in and we'd accept so it'll just be a token amount received.

DCL - yes we could likely get around the 20m or so mark for him, absolute tops 25m which I doubt.

Basically if we just sell DCL those funds will be used to pay off the Beto transfer.

If we sell Beto it'll be to pay off the money owed buying him.

Maupay will fetch us nothing besides a token amount.

Only by selling both DCL and Beto would we give ourselves maybe 20m or so to invest again.

It makes zero sense to do that.

Given in the last twenty years we have spent big money on two forwards who actually worked out Lukaku and Richy both of whom had shown they could do it in this league and I e who we knew for certain could as he'd been on loan the season prior with us.

and good money on roughly 10+ that have been shocking
Kean, Beto, Walcott, Tosun, Niasse, Maupay, Johnson, Beattie, Kone, Bakayoko etc...

One thing we are absolutely appalling at is buying strikers mate for big money.
Zat's posts are generally utter faeces. Don't engage.

In his head, it's £0 down payment for Beto and if we somehow sell him, we get to spend that money so in actually fact, we've made a chunky profit on it.
 
If we can't get Gnonto, what about Johnathan Rowe from Norwich. Left footed right winger 21yrs old pacey, tricky and scores goals. Might be a cheaper alternative.
 
Oh dear I totally disagree

1: You've taken a stance beyond reality about Beto & a magical £12mil payment that has (not) appeared out of the blue. Also claiming mismanagement regarding his signing :)

You're painting that as a likely picture when it is massively unlikely, not even worth considering, it would be so bizarre.

2: To compare goals scored decades apart, some in poor sides and some in excellent teams :)

3: Ferguson, Johnson, Yakubu and Lukaku walk into this team.

Ferguson was in a poor team for many years, overused and led to him picking up numerous injuries. The only light in the team and a talisman of hope in dark times.

Johnson was monitored by the refs after Wenger called him out for diving--at the time there was a youtube showing clear penalties not given. Again, not in a top side.

Yakubu was top class but for a bad injury. His first season he was a goal machine. Not trusted to start regular games after his injury (sub games affect your disproportionate stats) but went out and scored double figures elsewhere in England, should never have been sold.

Lukaku top class.


I dont know your age of course but I dont think you saw Yakubu, Ferguson or Johnson for us. All top players, far better than our Centre forwards today. Not even a comparison.

:)


4: Amokachi cost £3mil and was signed by Mike Walker the worst Everton manager of all time. You're right that was a big fee back then but it was Mike Walker who signed him. Hardly a relative example so i didnt mention him.

Beattie £6mil at a time when others were going for multiples of that -- 4.5x was spent on Rooney for example. Certainly not a huge fee in the market at the time and was not considered to be a top signing by the fans. Certainly little excitement for this signing :)


5: The forwards I listed from other teams, I wasnt trying to say they would all score 15 goals, maybe ive misworded by post.

What i was saying is that we have arguably the 5th worst starting centre forward in the league in terms of goal output -- take any of the starters from the 14 teams listed and theyre (i believe) far more likely to score more than DCL.

The team defensive numbers may be 4th best but the attacking output is dreadful. Even having the 8th best centre forward would propel us up the league.

We wont get anywhere with the likes of Maupay, Beto & DCL. There is no point in keeping them, none.

I actually think many posters are insane for disagreeing that we should sell them and sign a top starter....yet wanted Godfrey, Keane and Holgate gone :)

Why would Keane, Godfrey & Holgate sales be welcome but not DCL, Maupay and Beto?

Its madness.




If we had a £50mil budget then we can have more choices than if we had a low budget. Thats what im saying.

Ferguson, David, Beier for example may be hard to entice but having a decent budget gives us more hope than having zero budget (Beto) a low budget (Maupay) or developing a £1.5mil youth signing (DCL).

I think it would be tremendously challenging to sign a worse player than DCL, Beto and Maupay combined with that budget -- we dont need to spend all of it either.



Hopefully this is true & Brentford move on Maupay after the Thiago injury.



Calafiore also off to Arsenal



I didnt mean that. I meant those 14/15 premier league teams teams ALL have at least one superior and more effective starter compared with our players.

We have one of the worst forward groups in the division.



Why the youth aged jokes? I was one of the first if not the first to want a 29 year old Tarkowski.

Thelwell has the right idea, when he has money aim for younger players...when he doesnt (Beto) he tries to spend as little as possible on older players.

Seems like im ahead of the curve by many years. Thats not be talking nonsense, ive had that view for many years when weve seen other clubs follow the same path while we have struggled for not adopting the strategy.

Luckily Thelwell seems to be following a strategy which involves younger signings.



Beto rubbish, DCL ineffective in terms of goals.

Id be disappointed if Chermiti wasnt better than both by the end of next season. Its a very low bar.



Yakubu.

Johnson 11 Ferguson 11 Saha got 13, Rideout 14

Look at how many chances those players got and the circumstances of the teams they were in compared with today.

Surely you wouldnt have DCL over any of them?

Lukaku
Yakubu
Saha
Ferguson
Johnson
Rideout
DCL

…..that’s not a post, it’s a novel. A comedy, of course.
 
Oh dear I totally disagree

1: You've taken a stance beyond reality about Beto & a magical £12mil payment that has (not) appeared out of the blue. Also claiming mismanagement regarding his signing :)

You're painting that as a likely picture when it is massively unlikely, not even worth considering, it would be so bizarre.

2: To compare goals scored decades apart, some in poor sides and some in excellent teams :)

3: Ferguson, Johnson, Yakubu and Lukaku walk into this team.

Ferguson was in a poor team for many years, overused and led to him picking up numerous injuries. The only light in the team and a talisman of hope in dark times.

Johnson was monitored by the refs after Wenger called him out for diving--at the time there was a youtube showing clear penalties not given. Again, not in a top side.

Yakubu was top class but for a bad injury. His first season he was a goal machine. Not trusted to start regular games after his injury (sub games affect your disproportionate stats) but went out and scored double figures elsewhere in England, should never have been sold.

Lukaku top class.


I dont know your age of course but I dont think you saw Yakubu, Ferguson or Johnson for us. All top players, far better than our Centre forwards today. Not even a comparison.

:)


4: Amokachi cost £3mil and was signed by Mike Walker the worst Everton manager of all time. You're right that was a big fee back then but it was Mike Walker who signed him. Hardly a relative example so i didnt mention him.

Beattie £6mil at a time when others were going for multiples of that -- 4.5x was spent on Rooney for example. Certainly not a huge fee in the market at the time and was not considered to be a top signing by the fans. Certainly little excitement for this signing :)


5: The forwards I listed from other teams, I wasnt trying to say they would all score 15 goals, maybe ive misworded by post.

What i was saying is that we have arguably the 5th worst starting centre forward in the league in terms of goal output -- take any of the starters from the 14 teams listed and theyre (i believe) far more likely to score more than DCL.

The team defensive numbers may be 4th best but the attacking output is dreadful. Even having the 8th best centre forward would propel us up the league.

We wont get anywhere with the likes of Maupay, Beto & DCL. There is no point in keeping them, none.

I actually think many posters are insane for disagreeing that we should sell them and sign a top starter....yet wanted Godfrey, Keane and Holgate gone :)

Why would Keane, Godfrey & Holgate sales be welcome but not DCL, Maupay and Beto?

Its madness.




If we had a £50mil budget then we can have more choices than if we had a low budget. Thats what im saying.

Ferguson, David, Beier for example may be hard to entice but having a decent budget gives us more hope than having zero budget (Beto) a low budget (Maupay) or developing a £1.5mil youth signing (DCL).

I think it would be tremendously challenging to sign a worse player than DCL, Beto and Maupay combined with that budget -- we dont need to spend all of it either.



Hopefully this is true & Brentford move on Maupay after the Thiago injury.



Calafiore also off to Arsenal



I didnt mean that. I meant those 14/15 premier league teams teams ALL have at least one superior and more effective starter compared with our players.

We have one of the worst forward groups in the division.



Why the youth aged jokes? I was one of the first if not the first to want a 29 year old Tarkowski.

Thelwell has the right idea, when he has money aim for younger players...when he doesnt (Beto) he tries to spend as little as possible on older players.

Seems like im ahead of the curve by many years. Thats not be talking nonsense, ive had that view for many years when weve seen other clubs follow the same path while we have struggled for not adopting the strategy.

Luckily Thelwell seems to be following a strategy which involves younger signings.



Beto rubbish, DCL ineffective in terms of goals.

Id be disappointed if Chermiti wasnt better than both by the end of next season. Its a very low bar.



Yakubu.

Johnson 11 Ferguson 11 Saha got 13, Rideout 14

Look at how many chances those players got and the circumstances of the teams they were in compared with today.

Surely you wouldnt have DCL over any of them?

Lukaku
Yakubu
Saha
Ferguson
Johnson
Rideout
DCL
Does all this mean we are signing Gnonto or not?
 

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