Yeah I worked it out and it looks like we need 38 points.
Leeds winning yesterday was horrendous for us because even with that win I have them to just get 38. Its likely Leeds won't get anything from their next 4 fixtures and then will only have 2 left. If they were on 30 points still it could have meant 34 points would be enough.
Burnley have so many winnable games and a lot of them against teams who will be in holiday mode. Despite them being poor most the season they could easily pick up 14 points from their remaining games which puts them on 38.
We need 3 wins and a draw and that's to scrape it over Leeds on goal difference.
The other scenario is Burnley just don't manage the wins. A norwich win would be as big as our utd win yesterday if they can somehow manage it.