Big Sams Undies
Player Valuation: £15m
Have to disagree. Ter Stegen was running a +4.4 till Jan end/Feb on his post shot xG. In the fixtures that followed, his post shot xG+/- dropped to -1.0 He was dropping clanger after clanger every match, not saving shots he was meant to save.
Even an average GK probably would have won them enough points in that stretch to make it through. Not to mention Atleti vastly overperforming every key metric (Llorente having 12 goals on an xG of 4.3 should give you an idea) why are you assuming it would hold next season?
All of this is immaterial though, Koeman will crash and burn, it's his second season syndrome after all.
If you are talking Atleti and xG /xPoints you are ignoring 7 or 8 years of evidence that they outperform it massively (except for 19/20). And most of the time by 15-20 points. Just doesn't work for them...
Absolutely nobody is arsed