That sounds reasonable, of course, but let's say we lose 0-3 to Man United the next day, lose DCL for six weeks - an Everton six weeks - and one of Luton, Burnley, or Sheffield United pick up an unexpected three points as a result of a bad VAR call. We are not so superior to the bottom three to think we can give them a 10-point start, survive the inevitable injuries, and ride any upswing in their form and still stay up.
We're walking a tightrope now. It wouldn't be a huge shock if we lose to United, Newcastle, and Chelsea over the next month. We could be six points from safety in that circumstance...