Brendan Janus
Player Valuation: £40m
I think Martinez is a mega club manager and needs a mega club budget. Now before people get internet mad at me I'm not saying I think he's that good. Maybe he is. Maybe he isn't. I have no idea.
What I'm saying is his best fit -- the job in which you'll see peak Martinez (whatever that represents) -- is a job in which he can get all the pieces he needs so you can see his vision realized. He doesn't compromise; a trait which can be good but can also be very bad. Maybe he doesn't need City money but I think he needs at least RS or Spurs money.
Martinez wants to build a Ferrari and has no interest in driving a Lexus or a BMW for a few years while he builds the Ferrari on the side. It's all Ferrari all the time.
Moyes is a great example of the inverse: a manager for whom restricted budgets bring out "peak Moyes" and the big club scenario isn't his forte.
Moyes will mod a Honda so much that it looks exactly like a Mercedes ... to the point you don't remember it's a Honda until the race starts and you're like "oh right I remember now we have a Honda and we are going to lose horribly." Moyes would even get billionaires to buy our Hondas because they genuinely thought they were luxury sports cars. It was also his weakness: when he finally got a Lexus or BMW (or eventually actual Ferraris) in his garage Moyes would treat them all like a Civic.
IF we get new owners what kind of spend levels can we expect? That to me would influence the decision on the manager.
Martinez has a very obvious strategy with his public comments which makes judging him on anything but results difficult (and results aren't great of late ... "of late" being the last 18 months).
If I'm the new owners I want to sit down and have a real conversation with Martinez.
I want to hear him say negative stuff about our players! To acknowledge the defence is a shambles and he needs help.
I want to hear him say "I wanted to bring in Andros Pistamooli from Napoli to coach defence but we didn't have the budget" and "I wanted to bring in Greatzi Defendereeno from Roma to solidify our backline and Monty Stopsalot from Fenerbache in nets" so I can be all "well now you can afford them!"
If the conversation I have with him is along those lines then he gets a vote of confidence and stays.
If it's all just the same bollocks from press conferences (or most likely a toned down version but along the same refusing to admit problem area lines) and we don't win the Cup (or recover and finish top 5) then I'd likely look elsewhere.
The ambition of the new owners is a factor too. While I don't see them spending to Chelsea/City/United levels if they have even a RS level budget then it's possible they'd have stars in their eyes about one of the big name managers out there?
The bizarre and achingly ironic truth is that the best possible manager for the current Everton football club is possibly 75% Martinez and 25% Moyes.
No way I'd make a change before the end of the season though. He should get three years.
And out after eighteen months on the grounds of good behaviour !