I don't want to convince you or anyone of that. I want someone to convince me that a sample size of two or three games should give me confidence he can replicate that success again when it's meant very little to other non-rich teams/managers who won a Cup.
Who else are you talking about?
Laudrup hasn't had another chance. Souness hasn't managed in england since, McClaren hasn't manqged in the top flight since, McLiesh had one season since, Ramos hasn't managed in england since nor has Dalglish.
Those are the managers who over the last decade or so have gone into a competion in the quarter finals with a relatively poor team and held their nerve to win it. None of them as far as I can tell, with the sole expection of Redknapp who got a few semis and a final with spurs but nothing more, has been in that position since.
I'm saying that assuming Martinez is good enough at keeping our team together that we'd still be in that quarter final stage we have been for 4 of the last 6 years, he seems a better bet at steering us over the line than Moyes did.
Statistically Moyes had us at about 148% better then the average Pl manager gets their team, point per pound. Martinez had wigan at 125%. He improves that just a little, and I think there's signs he could at a better club, and he'll still have us as one of the top 8 in the league even if we're not quite where we were under Moyes.
And if you're one of those clubs it's just about holding your nerve. Which he's proven he can do in worse circumstances.