Id disagree mate, sure its easy to look back on season 1 and 2 and say he did well - that wasn't the case at time, i was in here manning the barricades pretty similar to the way i have been this season. so what does that tell me?
Year 1 and 2 are crystalized, year 3 is still dynamic - i mean its still at play, people are drawing conclusions still from an active dynamic unknown outcome, but based on year 1 and 2 when objective were reached, is it more or less likely that objectives in year 3 wont be reached.