The 2015 Popularity Contest (aka UK General Election )

Who will you be voting for?

  • Tory

    Votes: 38 9.9%
  • Diet Tory (Labour)

    Votes: 132 34.3%
  • Tory Zero (Greens)

    Votes: 44 11.4%
  • Extra Tory with lemon (UKIP)

    Votes: 40 10.4%
  • Lib Dems

    Votes: 9 2.3%
  • Other

    Votes: 31 8.1%
  • Cheese on toast

    Votes: 91 23.6%

  • Total voters
    385
  • Poll closed .
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http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/may/02/weeks-political-paralysis-vote-uk-general-election

Britain faces “weeks not days” without an effective government following Thursday’s general election if David Cameron wins the most seats and tries to renew his coalition vows with Nick Clegg, according to senior Tories and Liberal Democrats.

A Tory-Lib Dem coalition Mark Two is seen as one of the most likely results of an extremely close election. But senior MPs from both parties revealed they have deep reservations about such an outcome, and are privately planning to force their leaders into gruelling and protracted negotiations that could last well into the summer.
 
A Tory-Lib Dem coalition Mark Two is seen as one of the most likely results of an extremely close election

Yes, but by who?

In all seriousness, I'd come on here to get thoughtful, insightful analysis of possible outcomes before I'd trust some of the unnamed sources quoted in the press.

I've just been watching two commentators on TV going through it and it was less than GSCE standard interpretation.
 
The fruits of the Tories' ideological attack on the teaching profession are beginning to emerge :


Schools unable to recruit senior teachers, says union



Many headteachers said they are struggling to recruit senior staff. Photograph: David Davies/PA
Sally Weale



Schools are increasingly struggling to recruit senior teachers, while at the same time finding that newly qualified teachers are ill prepared to start working in the classroom, a leading teaching union has warned.

Almost 62% of school leaders are struggling to recruit teachers on the upper pay scale, according to a survey of headteachers, with 14% reporting they have been unable to recruit deputy heads and 20% unable to fill posts for assistant heads.

The survey, carried out for the National Association of Head Teachers and published to coincide with its annual conference in Liverpool, came as schools are seeing an exodus from the profession due to concerns about workload, pay and conditions.

The poll of 1,110 headteachers across the country, carried out at the start of the academic year, also highlights worries about the quality of the newly qualified teachers (NQTs) whom schools are now relying on to fill posts. A third of those surveyed said the NQTs they had recruited in the past two years “were not well prepared to start working in a school”.

There was particular concern about their ability to control pupils’ behaviour in lessons, with almost three quarters (73%) of head teachers expressing concern about poor classroom management.

Almost six out of 10 (58%) were concerned about NQTs’ lack of subject knowledge, and 56% complained about a poor understanding of pedagogy and children’s development. Just 19% of respondents felt that NQTs were better prepared for work in the classroom.

The survey will escalate growing fears within the profession, among other teaching unions and inspection watchdog Ofsted, that schools are heading for a serious crisis in recruitment and retention of teaching staff, which will inevitably impact on children’s education.

Later on Sunday, the head teachers’ conference will debate a motion proposed by Gareth May and Christine Coulbeck from the NAHT’s East Riding branch calling on the NAHT to highlight the “exodus from the profession” and for more to be done to both “retain the most talented of our young teachers” and urgently address the “unrealistic expectations” being placed upon them.

Fellow union, the Association of Teachers and Lecturers (ATL), recently carried out a detailed analysis of Department for Education statistics that showed even newly qualified teachers were quitting the profession; almost two-fifths of teachers were not in the classroom a year after finishing their training.

ATL general secretary Mary Bousted told her union conference in March that NQTs, who should be “bright-eyed and bushy-tailed” at the start of their careers, are being turned off by the prospect of heavy workloads, excessive monitoring and poor pay.

Louis Coiffait, who leads the NAHT’s Edge section, which is aimed at senior teachers heading for leadership roles, said: “It’s time to be frank, we’re facing a recruitment crisis at all stages of the education system.

Until we address it at each of those stages, there’s no chance that we’ll have the quantity or quality of head teachers we need in the future. That’s why we set up NAHT Edge – to give the next generation of school leaders the support they need to overcome the challenges they’ll face in their careers.

“Nothing is more important than ensuring children have access to the best possible standards of teaching. But any improvements we’ve seen in education will stutter and stall if there’s no investment in teacher development and career progression.

“Promising professionals will leave and would-be leaders will choose not to take on leadership roles. That can’t be allowed to happen.”

============================================================

I've been saying it for years - if you erode pay and conditions, you'll end up with a teacher shortage which will negatively impact on the future of our children. Simple supply and demand curve. You'd think Gove and co would have understood that.
 
The fruits of the Tories' ideological attack on the teaching profession are beginning to emerge :


Schools unable to recruit senior teachers, says union



Many headteachers said they are struggling to recruit senior staff. Photograph: David Davies/PA
Sally Weale



Schools are increasingly struggling to recruit senior teachers, while at the same time finding that newly qualified teachers are ill prepared to start working in the classroom, a leading teaching union has warned.

Almost 62% of school leaders are struggling to recruit teachers on the upper pay scale, according to a survey of headteachers, with 14% reporting they have been unable to recruit deputy heads and 20% unable to fill posts for assistant heads.

The survey, carried out for the National Association of Head Teachers and published to coincide with its annual conference in Liverpool, came as schools are seeing an exodus from the profession due to concerns about workload, pay and conditions.

The poll of 1,110 headteachers across the country, carried out at the start of the academic year, also highlights worries about the quality of the newly qualified teachers (NQTs) whom schools are now relying on to fill posts. A third of those surveyed said the NQTs they had recruited in the past two years “were not well prepared to start working in a school”.

There was particular concern about their ability to control pupils’ behaviour in lessons, with almost three quarters (73%) of head teachers expressing concern about poor classroom management.

Almost six out of 10 (58%) were concerned about NQTs’ lack of subject knowledge, and 56% complained about a poor understanding of pedagogy and children’s development. Just 19% of respondents felt that NQTs were better prepared for work in the classroom.

The survey will escalate growing fears within the profession, among other teaching unions and inspection watchdog Ofsted, that schools are heading for a serious crisis in recruitment and retention of teaching staff, which will inevitably impact on children’s education.

Later on Sunday, the head teachers’ conference will debate a motion proposed by Gareth May and Christine Coulbeck from the NAHT’s East Riding branch calling on the NAHT to highlight the “exodus from the profession” and for more to be done to both “retain the most talented of our young teachers” and urgently address the “unrealistic expectations” being placed upon them.

Fellow union, the Association of Teachers and Lecturers (ATL), recently carried out a detailed analysis of Department for Education statistics that showed even newly qualified teachers were quitting the profession; almost two-fifths of teachers were not in the classroom a year after finishing their training.

ATL general secretary Mary Bousted told her union conference in March that NQTs, who should be “bright-eyed and bushy-tailed” at the start of their careers, are being turned off by the prospect of heavy workloads, excessive monitoring and poor pay.

Louis Coiffait, who leads the NAHT’s Edge section, which is aimed at senior teachers heading for leadership roles, said: “It’s time to be frank, we’re facing a recruitment crisis at all stages of the education system.

Until we address it at each of those stages, there’s no chance that we’ll have the quantity or quality of head teachers we need in the future. That’s why we set up NAHT Edge – to give the next generation of school leaders the support they need to overcome the challenges they’ll face in their careers.

“Nothing is more important than ensuring children have access to the best possible standards of teaching. But any improvements we’ve seen in education will stutter and stall if there’s no investment in teacher development and career progression.

“Promising professionals will leave and would-be leaders will choose not to take on leadership roles. That can’t be allowed to happen.”

============================================================

I've been saying it for years - if you erode pay and conditions, you'll end up with a teacher shortage which will negatively impact on the future of our children. Simple supply and demand curve. You'd think Gove and co would have understood that.

How are you getting in with 'assessment without levels', Clint? Yet another massive mistake from this Government which will work against children in schools like mine and yours.
 

How are you getting in with 'assessment without levels', Clint? Yet another massive mistake from this Government which will work against children in schools like mine and yours.

We're only just getting to grips with it - we hung onto Levels until OFSTED came and went. It's a nightmare, so far. Talk about throwing the baby out with the bathwater. Tory ideology and quality education just don't mix, do they?
 
We're only just getting to grips with it - we hung onto Levels until OFSTED came and went. It's a nightmare, so far. Talk about throwing the baby out with the bathwater. Tory ideology and quality education just don't mix, do they?

Exactly the same with us, we were OFSTED'd in Jan and so we are beginning to implement it for next year now. It is horrendous. Literally forgetting about lower achievers who, when they don't grasp a concept through 'pre teaching', and by the time you 'teach to your highers', will never revisit that concept. It's amazing. How easier will it be for schools in affluent areas to achieve that 85% mark?

Hopefully, all being well Thursday, it will only haunt us for a year.
 
I hope that voters will remember Labour were also responsible for Ebola, the Decline of the Roman Empire and the spread of Athletes' Foot. Heard it from this bloke in the pub so it must be true.

Wonder if it's the same one what told me that despite popular belief, Nelly the elephant didn't leave the circus of her own accord - she was made redundant: "Because of them lot of bleedin' heart animal rights loons with their minimum wage."

Of course, when I pointed out that Nelly was last seen heading home to hindustan and asked if the bloke would grant her a visa to perform in this country again (after he scrapped NMW) he went into a rant about "Them foreign animals; taking british elephants' jobs" and how the "Lazy soddin' British ones living high on the hog at the zoos & safari parks should be out grafting & paying their taxes"

I think he might've been drunk. Or Nigel Farage.
 
I reckon we might see some sort of formal Labour-LibDem coalition with support from the SNP, Plaid and the one Green.

Otherwise, Miliband will probably try to go it alone and dare them to stop him.

Can't see Cameron staying.
 

No it's not.

In fact it is the least likely combination to form a working majority.

The source is living in denial!
Clegg confirming in the Independent today that the LDs won't go into coalition with the Conservatives if it is against the collective will of the party. I think it's looking increasingly unlikely as an option full stop.
 
Miliband has unveiled what can best be described as a tombstone with 6 vague 'pledges' on it:

CEEYm5oWIAED-Nn.jpg


End this madness.
 
Miliband has unveiled what can best be described as a tombstone with 6 vague 'pledges' on it:

CEEYm5oWIAED-Nn.jpg


End this madness.

Haha. Brilliant. This is like 'The Thick Of It' esque.

I do having a feeling, though, that number 4 will come back to haunt them. Not because they will have be seen to have failed on the point, but because in years to come, people will look back on the whole 'controlling immigration' nonesense as rhetoric of it's time, driven forward by a dangerous right wing fringe politician who caught the attention of the disillusioned.
 

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