The 2015 Popularity Contest (aka UK General Election )

Who will you be voting for?

  • Tory

    Votes: 38 9.9%

  • Diet Tory (Labour)

    Votes: 132 34.3%

  • Tory Zero (Greens)

    Votes: 44 11.4%

  • Extra Tory with lemon (UKIP)

    Votes: 40 10.4%

  • Lib Dems

    Votes: 9 2.3%

  • Other

    Votes: 31 8.1%

  • Cheese on toast

    Votes: 91 23.6%
  • Total voters
    385
  • Poll closed .
Status
Not open for further replies.
davek said:
Even under that forecast (and Electoral Forecast weight against the LP) the centre-right/extreme right bloc doesn't get them the numbers for a win. Tory+LD+DUP = 316. The Centre-left bloc can make the maths work though: LP+SNP+SDLP+Plaid+Green = 326.

Still all on a knife edge and can go either way between that scenario above and one where either the Tories or LDs perform better than Electoral Forecast suggest and drag a few more seats out and that bloc they head over the line.
Click to expand...

Looking at the odds on the betting, they continue to slowly move towards a Tory Coalition.........
 

peteblue said:
Looking at the odds on the betting, they continue to slowly move towards a Tory Coalition.........
Click to expand...
We've been through this the other day: overall majority and government is different to majority party. That's why the Tories are favourite: to get most seats...not to get an outright win - Labour minority government is still the favourite last time I looked.

Besides all this the bookies are just looking to draw clueless mugs in to part with their money - maybe you should back the Tories to win?
 
YouGov poll (04 – 05 May):
CON – 34% (+1)
LAB – 34% (+1)
UKIP – 12% (-)
LDEM – 9% (-1)
GRN – 5% (-)


BMG

CON 34
LAB 34
LD 10
UKIP 12
GRN 4

ComRes

Con 35% (+2)
Lab 32% (-1)
LD 9% (+1)
UKIP 14% (+1)
Green 4% (-3)
 
peteblue said:
Looking at the odds on the betting, they continue to slowly move towards a Tory Coalition.........
Click to expand...
All bookies do is quote prices that reflect betting trends.

Doesn't mean anything is a given. In fact I'd say more people are likely to bet than actually vote, so can betting trends be taken as a true reflection? I'd say not.
 
davek said:
We've been through this the other day: overall majority and government is different to majority party. That's why the Tories are favourite: to get most seats...not to get an outright win - Labour minority government is still the favourite last time I looked.

Besides all this the bookies are just looking to draw clueless mugs in to part with their money - maybe you should back the Tories to win?
Click to expand...

I don't gamble, never have. My point though was about the trend. For all categories on the oddschecker, the trend has been moving daily towards a Tory Coalition, which either reflects risk or the amount of money placed.....
 
davek said:
YouGov poll (04 – 05 May):
CON – 34% (+1)
LAB – 34% (+1)
UKIP – 12% (-)
LDEM – 9% (-1)
GRN – 5% (-)


BMG

CON 34
LAB 34
LD 10
UKIP 12
GRN 4

ComRes

Con 35% (+2)
Lab 32% (-1)
LD 9% (+1)
UKIP 14% (+1)
Green 4% (-3)
Click to expand...

Isn't it amazing how UKIP will get about 3 times the number of votes of the SNP and about 49 less MP's........
 

peteblue said:
Nobody mentioned profits......
Click to expand...

I did. It's a turn of phrase. You seem happy to remove the human element, that people are really suffering from any argument. You don't acknowledge that Tory policies deprive the poor, oppress the weak and further handicap the disabled. All you see is a necessity to manage national finances in a manner which will protect the wealth of those who are financially profiting from the genuine misery of others.
 
daylightrobber said:
I did. It's a turn of phrase. You seem happy to remove the human element, that people are really suffering from any argument. You don't acknowledge that Tory policies deprive the poor, oppress the weak and further handicap the disabled. All you see is a necessity to manage national finances in a manner which will protect the wealth of those who are financially profiting from the genuine misery of others.
Click to expand...

You missed my point completely, stop jumping to Incorrect conclusions.......
 
peteblue said:
I don't gamble, never have. My point though was about the trend. For all categories on the oddschecker, the trend has been moving daily towards a Tory Coalition, which either reflects risk or the amount of money placed.....
Click to expand...

It reflects what the polls are showing regarding a LD party gaining a couple of points. The leap is made that this is good for a Tory/LD coalition...but only if a) the LDs want that (and not just Clegg); b ) the numbers add up to power (they dont); Labour wont do a deal with the various nationalists including the SNP (they will).

At the moment that Tory/LD bet looks a come on to the mugs by bookies who'll be pissing themselves taking the cash off them.
 
davek said:
What's he done to be head and shoulders above anyone? Crashed the economy into recession after being handed one with 3 successive quarters of growth before taking his foot off the accelerator just short of the car going over the cliff?

Bravo.
Click to expand...

Whatever happened to that double/triple dip the Balls was hoping for.......
 
davek said:
It reflects what the polls are showing regarding a LD party gaining a couple of points. The leap is made that this is good for a Tory/LD coalition...but only if a) the LDs want that (and not just Clegg); b ) the numbers add up to power (they dont); Labour wont do a deal with the various nationalists including the SNP (they will).

At the moment that Tory/LD bet looks a come on to the mugs by bookies who'll be pissing themselves taking the cash off them.
Click to expand...

I was listening to Clegg on the radio while driving earlier today, he sounded like a man who believes that the Tories will get the most MP's and that he is insistent on doing a deal with them.......might be wrong though......
 

Status
Not open for further replies.

Welcome to GrandOldTeam

Get involved. Registration is simple and free.

Register
Back
Top