I looked at the past 13 seasons and there was only one year where a team got 71+ points and didn't get in the Champions League. Last year.
This is the points totals over the last decade for the teams who finished 4th
03/04: Liverpool - 60 points
04/05 - Everton - 61 points
05/06 - Arsenal - 67 points
06/07 - Arsenal - 68 points
07/08 - Liverpool - 76 points
08/09 - Arsenal - 72 points
09/10 - Spurs - 70 points
10/11 - Arsenal 68 points
11/12 - Spurs - 69 points
12/13 - Arsenal - 73 points
The average is 68.4 points, but the general trend has been towards a higher total
I think 71-72 is a reasonable guess
I think we're right in the mix for the CL places currently, a lot will depend on injuries/suspensions and how we strengthen next month
Think the title is just a bridge too far though. At some point Man City or Chelsea will put the sort of run together which is beyond us